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Sha Tin · 2025-10-26 · 15:11

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.18
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 BRIGHT DAY Closed strongly 1:21.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · K L Man 5 19.0 —
2 10 CALIFORNIA BANNER Closed strongly M Chadwick · W K Mo 7 26.0 3/4
3 4 GALLANT EPOCH Led early K De Melo · K W Lui 6 20.0 1-1/4
4 14 ONLY U Closed strongly H Bentley · B Crawford 3 9.0 1-1/4
5 1 MR COOL Closed strongly A Atzeni · F C Lor 12 3.1 1-1/2
6 7 DECISION LINK L Ferraris · W Y So 1 8.3 2
7 8 WORLD HERO A Badel · D A Hayes 14 17.0 2
8 2 BEAUTY GLORY Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 7.9 2-1/4
9 12 SILVER UP Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang 9 17.0 3-1/4
10 3 REZEKI Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 10 7.6 3-1/2
11 9 VOLCANIC SPARK M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 15.0 3-1/2
12 6 AMAZING FUN Z Purton · C H Yip 4 14.0 4
13 11 GROOVY FEELING B Avdulla · J Richards 11 66.0 8
14 13 APPEALING CITY D Probert · D J Whyte 8 144.0 20-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-26 was Class 4 over 1400m. BRIGHT DAY, ridden by J Orman and trained by K L Man, won, with CALIFORNIA BANNER second and GALLANT EPOCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite MR COOL finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BRIGHT DAY—2. CALIFORNIA BANNER+0.75L3. GALLANT EPOCH+1.25L4. ONLY U+1.25L5. MR COOL+1.5L6. DECISION LINK+2L7. WORLD HERO+2L8. BEAUTY GLORY+2.25L9. SILVER UP+3.25L10. REZEKI+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ONLY U (17.8%) finished 4th — the winner BRIGHT DAY was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 14 ONLY U 17.8% 5.63 4
2 1 MR COOL 13.7% 7.29 5
3 3 REZEKI 13.6% 7.34 10
4 7 DECISION LINK 9.1% 11.01 6
5 2 BEAUTY GLORY 8.5% 11.77 8
6 8 WORLD HERO 6.3% 15.96 7
7 9 VOLCANIC SPARK 6.1% 16.45 11
8 6 AMAZING FUN 6.0% 16.66 12
9 5 BRIGHT DAY 4.2% 23.80 1
10 12 SILVER UP 4.1% 24.20 9
11 11 GROOVY FEELING 3.5% 28.22 13
12 10 CALIFORNIA BANNER 3.1% 32.33 2
13 4 GALLANT EPOCH 2.9% 35.07 3
14 13 APPEALING CITY 1.2% 86.10 14
ONLY UMR COOLREZEKIDECISION LINKBEAUTY GLORYWORLD HEROVOLCANIC SPARKAMAZING FUNBRIGHT DAY — wonSILVER UPGROOVY FEELINGCALIFORNIA BANNERGALLANT EPOCHAPPEALING CITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 193

PLACE

4 62.5

5 54.5

10 60.5

QUINELLA

5,10 2,045.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 448.5

4,10 716

5,10 605

FORECAST

5,10 3,834

TIERCE

5,10,4 63,409

TRIO

4,5,10 11,960

FIRST 4

4,5,10,14 19,388

QUARTET

5,10,4,14 539,875

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

3/12/5 179,325

3/12/10 61,973

4TH DOUBLE

12/5 11,529.5

12/10 3,026.5