Sha Tin · 2025-10-26 · 07:15
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-26 was Class 4 over 1400m. BRIGHT DAY, ridden by J Orman and trained by K L Man, won, with CALIFORNIA BANNER second and GALLANT EPOCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite MR COOL finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BRIGHT DAY Closed strongly 1:21.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 5 | 19.0 | — |
| 2 | 10 | CALIFORNIA BANNER Closed strongly M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 26.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | GALLANT EPOCH Led early K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 6 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | ONLY U Closed strongly H Bentley · B Crawford | H Bentley | B Crawford | 3 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MR COOL Closed strongly A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 12 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | DECISION LINK L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 1 | 8.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | WORLD HERO A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 14 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 7.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SILVER UP Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | REZEKI Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | VOLCANIC SPARK M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | AMAZING FUN Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 11 | 66.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | APPEALING CITY D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 8 | 144.0 | 20-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | ONLY U | 17.8% | 5.63 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | MR COOL | 13.7% | 7.29 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | REZEKI | 13.6% | 7.34 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | DECISION LINK | 9.1% | 11.01 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY | 8.5% | 11.77 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | WORLD HERO | 6.3% | 15.96 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 6.1% | 16.45 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | AMAZING FUN | 6.0% | 16.66 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | BRIGHT DAY | 4.2% | 23.80 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | SILVER UP | 4.1% | 24.20 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING | 3.5% | 28.22 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 3.1% | 32.33 | 2 |
| 13 | 4 | GALLANT EPOCH | 2.9% | 35.07 | 3 |
| 14 | 13 | APPEALING CITY | 1.2% | 86.10 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 193
PLACE
4 62.5
5 54.5
10 60.5
QUINELLA
5,10 2,045.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 448.5
4,10 716
5,10 605
FORECAST
5,10 3,834
TIERCE
5,10,4 63,409
TRIO
4,5,10 11,960
FIRST 4
4,5,10,14 19,388
QUARTET
5,10,4,14 539,875
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/12/5 179,325
3/12/10 61,973
4TH DOUBLE
12/5 11,529.5
12/10 3,026.5