Sha Tin · 2025-10-26 · 06:25
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-26 was Class 4 over 1600m. TIME TO FIRE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won, with BRIGHT INHERITANCE second and INNO SUPER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite PEARL OF PANG'S finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TIME TO FIRE Closed strongly 1:33.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 68.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 2 | 8.9 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | INNO SUPER Closed strongly C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 14 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 4.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SOARING BRONCO K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 13 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SERANGOON Closed strongly Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | THE HEIR C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 9 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | PEARL OF PANG'S K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 4.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GOOD GOOD Led early B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | SPLENDID FORCE D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 4 | 164.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | JOLLY JUMPER H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 8 | 13.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 7 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | — | 21.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 16.9% | 5.91 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | INNO SUPER | 16.2% | 6.16 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | THE HEIR | 13.2% | 7.55 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | BULL ATTITUDE | 12.9% | 7.74 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | SERANGOON | 7.9% | 12.64 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 6.2% | 16.04 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | JOLLY JUMPER | 5.3% | 18.77 | 13 |
| 8 | 3 | GOOD GOOD | 5.0% | 20.18 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | SOARING BRONCO | 4.8% | 20.66 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 4.1% | 24.26 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | TIME TO FIRE | 3.0% | 33.89 | 1 |
| 12 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 2.9% | 34.53 | 5 |
| 13 | 6 | SPLENDID FORCE | 1.5% | 68.78 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 689
PLACE
4 31
9 22.5
12 125.5
QUINELLA
4,12 3,173.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 165.5
4,12 895.5
9,12 457
FORECAST
12,4 6,572
TIERCE
12,4,9 55,493
TRIO
4,9,12 6,113
FIRST 4
4,8,9,12 6,039
QUARTET
12,4,9,8 263,519
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,13/4,9,12 402,418
3RD DOUBLE
3/4 420.5
3/12 16,714