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Sha Tin · 2025-10-26 · 14:23

Race 4

Class 4 1600m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1:33.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 TIME TO FIRE Closed strongly 1:33.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall 12 68.0 —
2 4 BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly L Ferraris · C H Yip 2 8.9 SH
3 9 INNO SUPER Closed strongly C L Chau · D Eustace 14 6.8 1-1/4
4 8 BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham 10 4.4 2-1/4
5 1 SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 28.0 2-3/4
6 11 SOARING BRONCO K Teetan · P C Ng 13 24.0 3
7 10 SERANGOON Closed strongly Z Purton · A S Cruz 6 34.0 3
8 2 THE HEIR C Y Ho · C Fownes 3 11.0 3
9 14 ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT M Chadwick · J Richards 9 10.0 3-3/4
10 5 PEARL OF PANG'S K C Leung · K L Man 5 4.1 4-3/4
11 3 GOOD GOOD Led early B Avdulla · J Size 11 16.0 5-1/2
12 6 SPLENDID FORCE D Probert · D J Whyte 4 164.0 8-1/2
13 13 JOLLY JUMPER H Bentley · W K Mo 8 13.0 9-3/4
— 7 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED A Badel · F C Lor — 21.0 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-26 was Class 4 over 1600m. TIME TO FIRE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won, with BRIGHT INHERITANCE second and INNO SUPER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite PEARL OF PANG'S finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TIME TO FIRE—2. BRIGHT INHERITANCE+0.1L3. INNO SUPER+1.25L4. BULL ATTITUDE+2.25L5. SUPREME MASTERMIND+2.75L6. SOARING BRONCO+3L7. SERANGOON+3L8. THE HEIR+3L9. ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT+3.75L10. PEARL OF PANG'S+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PEARL OF PANG'S (16.9%) finished 10th — the winner TIME TO FIRE was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 PEARL OF PANG'S 16.9% 5.91 10
2 9 INNO SUPER 16.2% 6.16 3
3 2 THE HEIR 13.2% 7.55 8
4 8 BULL ATTITUDE 12.9% 7.74 4
5 10 SERANGOON 7.9% 12.64 7
6 4 BRIGHT INHERITANCE 6.2% 16.04 2
7 13 JOLLY JUMPER 5.3% 18.77 13
8 3 GOOD GOOD 5.0% 20.18 11
9 11 SOARING BRONCO 4.8% 20.66 6
10 14 ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT 4.1% 24.26 9
11 12 TIME TO FIRE 3.0% 33.89 1
12 1 SUPREME MASTERMIND 2.9% 34.53 5
13 6 SPLENDID FORCE 1.5% 68.78 12
PEARL OF PANG'SINNO SUPERTHE HEIRBULL ATTITUDESERANGOONBRIGHT INHERITANCEJOLLY JUMPERGOOD GOODSOARING BRONCOROSEWOOD FLEETFOOTTIME TO FIRE — wonSUPREME MASTERMINDSPLENDID FORCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 689

PLACE

4 31

9 22.5

12 125.5

QUINELLA

4,12 3,173.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,9 165.5

4,12 895.5

9,12 457

FORECAST

12,4 6,572

TIERCE

12,4,9 55,493

TRIO

4,9,12 6,113

FIRST 4

4,8,9,12 6,039

QUARTET

12,4,9,8 263,519

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,13/4,9,12 402,418

3RD DOUBLE

3/4 420.5

3/12 16,714