沙田 · 2025-10-26 · 06:25
第 4場
2025-10-26沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1600米。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的TIME TO FIRE勝出。BRIGHT INHERITANCE獲得亞軍；INNO SUPER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門PEARL OF PANG'S跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TIME TO FIRE 後段發力 1:33.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 68.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 2 | 8.9 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | INNO SUPER 後段發力 C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 14 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | BULL ATTITUDE 後段發力 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 4.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND 後段發力 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SOARING BRONCO K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 13 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SERANGOON 後段發力 Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | THE HEIR C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 9 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | PEARL OF PANG'S K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 4.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GOOD GOOD 早段領放 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | SPLENDID FORCE D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 4 | 164.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | JOLLY JUMPER H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 8 | 13.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 7 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | — | 21.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 16.9% | 5.91 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | INNO SUPER | 16.2% | 6.16 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | THE HEIR | 13.2% | 7.55 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | BULL ATTITUDE | 12.9% | 7.74 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | SERANGOON | 7.9% | 12.64 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 6.2% | 16.04 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | JOLLY JUMPER | 5.3% | 18.77 | 13 |
| 8 | 3 | GOOD GOOD | 5.0% | 20.18 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | SOARING BRONCO | 4.8% | 20.66 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 4.1% | 24.26 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | TIME TO FIRE | 3.0% | 33.89 | 1 |
| 12 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 2.9% | 34.53 | 5 |
| 13 | 6 | SPLENDID FORCE | 1.5% | 68.78 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 689
PLACE
4 31
9 22.5
12 125.5
QUINELLA
4,12 3,173.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 165.5
4,12 895.5
9,12 457
FORECAST
12,4 6,572
TIERCE
12,4,9 55,493
TRIO
4,9,12 6,113
FIRST 4
4,8,9,12 6,039
QUARTET
12,4,9,8 263,519
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,13/4,9,12 402,418
3RD DOUBLE
3/4 420.5
3/12 16,714