沙田 · 2025-10-26 · 09:25
第 9場
2025-10-26沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的ALPHA STRIKE勝出。SPARKLING FELLOW獲得亞軍；CASA OF HONOR獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ALPHA STRIKE 0:56.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 14 | SPARKLING FELLOW A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | CASA OF HONOR M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 6 | 21.0 | N |
| 4 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 1 | 49.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | ALSONSO B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 10 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | STORMY GROVE H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | WONDERSTAR M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPERB KING K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 4 | 103.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | QUICK MONEY K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 13 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | HOLMES A COURT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 105.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | METRO POWER Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | ACE CHAMPION K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 12 | 27.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 9 | CHILL BUDDY A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | — | 11.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WONDERSTAR | 25.9% | 3.86 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | METRO POWER | 12.9% | 7.73 | 12 |
| 3 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER | 12.7% | 7.87 | 9 |
| 4 | 10 | ALPHA STRIKE | 9.8% | 10.25 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | ALSONSO | 8.1% | 12.30 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | ACE CHAMPION | 5.6% | 17.79 | 13 |
| 7 | 14 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 5.1% | 19.58 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | QUICK MONEY | 5.0% | 20.05 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST | 4.3% | 23.08 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | CASA OF HONOR | 3.9% | 25.75 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | STORMY GROVE | 3.3% | 30.14 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPERB KING | 1.7% | 57.73 | 8 |
| 13 | 6 | HOLMES A COURT | 1.6% | 64.39 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 28.5
PLACE
4 47
10 15
14 33
QUINELLA
10,14 211
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 126
4,14 287
10,14 79
FORECAST
10,14 301
TIERCE
10,14,4 3,543
TRIO
4,10,14 1,080
FIRST 4
4,5,10,14 7,312
QUARTET
10,14,4,5 64,659
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
13/10 203
13/14 96.5