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Sha Tin · 2025-10-26 · 07:45

Race 6

Class 2 1600m Course A 13 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-26 was Class 2 over 1600m. SAGACIOUS LIFE, ridden by P N Wong and trained by P C Ng, won, with STEPS AHEAD second and STUNNING PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite HONG LOK GOLF finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1:33.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 SAGACIOUS LIFE Closed strongly 1:33.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · P C Ng 6 33.0
2 8 STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly C L Chau · K W Lui 10 5.6 SH
3 10 STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 18.0 1
4 1 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN Closed strongly B Avdulla · D Eustace 9 26.0 1-1/4
5 13 MICKLEY Closed strongly M F Poon · J Size 3 20.0 1-3/4
6 4 HONG LOK GOLF H Bentley · W Y So 8 3.0 2-1/2
7 9 TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly K Teetan · M Newnham 5 46.0 2-1/2
8 6 MARKWIN Closed strongly M Chadwick · W K Mo 7 25.0 2-1/2
9 2 RUBYLOT Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes 12 7.7 2-1/2
10 12 SKY HEART M L Yeung · C Fownes 13 6.9 3-1/4
11 3 BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 11 20.0 3-1/4
12 5 JOHANNES BRAHMS Z Purton · P C Ng 4 7.9 4
13 7 VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early K C Leung · F C Lor 1 39.0 21-1/2
11 HUGE WAVE A Badel · K H Ting

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SAGACIOUS LIFE2. STEPS AHEAD+0.1L3. STUNNING PEACH+1L4. MASSIVE SOVEREIGN+1.25L5. MICKLEY+1.75L6. HONG LOK GOLF+2.5L7. TALENTS AMBITION+2.5L8. MARKWIN+2.5L9. RUBYLOT+2.5L10. SKY HEART+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HONG LOK GOLF (40.1%) finished 6th — the winner SAGACIOUS LIFE was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 HONG LOK GOLF 40.1% 2.49 6
2 5 JOHANNES BRAHMS 11.9% 8.38 12
3 8 STEPS AHEAD 8.0% 12.54 2
4 3 BUNDLE AWARD 6.5% 15.49 11
5 9 TALENTS AMBITION 5.4% 18.50 7
6 2 RUBYLOT 5.4% 18.67 9
7 13 MICKLEY 5.2% 19.32 5
8 6 MARKWIN 3.4% 29.49 8
9 1 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN 3.3% 30.10 4
10 14 SAGACIOUS LIFE 3.3% 30.54 1
11 10 STUNNING PEACH 2.8% 35.58 3
12 12 SKY HEART 2.6% 37.74 10
13 7 VOYAGE SAMURAI 2.1% 46.76 13
HONG LOK GOLFJOHANNES BRAHMSSTEPS AHEADBUNDLE AWARDTALENTS AMBITIONRUBYLOTMICKLEYMARKWINMASSIVE SOVEREIGNSAGACIOUS LIFE — wonSTUNNING PEACHSKY HEARTVOYAGE SAMURAI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 336.5

PLACE

8 21

10 43

14 79.5

QUINELLA

8,14 1,021.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,10 173

8,14 286.5

10,14 285

FORECAST

14,8 2,906

TIERCE

14,8,10 34,834

TRIO

8,10,14 5,568

FIRST 4

1,8,10,14 24,637

QUARTET

14,8,10,1 697,549

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,10/8,10,14 853,751

5TH DOUBLE

5/8 298.5

5/14 4,460.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,9,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 905