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Sha Tin · 2025-10-26 · 17:58

Race 10

Class 3 1400m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.32
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 TOP DRAGON Closed strongly 1:21.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So 5 3.5 —
2 3 ANODE Closed strongly R Kingscote · C S Shum 9 20.0 1-1/4
3 5 KA YING ATTACK Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 13 8.5 2-1/4
4 10 DRAGON JOY Closed strongly E C W Wong · P F Yiu 8 42.0 2-1/2
5 1 SIX PACK Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte 4 15.0 2-3/4
6 7 DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly L Ferraris · D Eustace 1 2.5 2-3/4
7 6 NEW FUTURE FOLKS Led early K Teetan · C W Chang 11 16.0 3
8 8 ENDEARED Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 3 25.0 4-1/4
9 9 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE H Bentley · M Newnham 2 14.0 4-1/4
10 12 IGOR STRAVINSKY M Chadwick · A S Cruz 7 101.0 6-1/4
11 14 ONE MAN SHOW K C Leung · F C Lor 10 46.0 7
12 2 SUPERB KID Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 12 93.0 7-1/2
13 13 KA YING SUPERB A Badel · W K Mo 6 15.0 8-1/2
— 11 LO PAN SPIRIT H Bentley · K H Ting — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-26 was Class 3 over 1400m. TOP DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won, with ANODE second and KA YING ATTACK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite DAZZLING FIT finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TOP DRAGON—2. ANODE+1.25L3. KA YING ATTACK+2.25L4. DRAGON JOY+2.5L5. SIX PACK+2.75L6. DAZZLING FIT+2.75L7. NEW FUTURE FOLKS+3L8. ENDEARED+4.25L9. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE+4.25L10. IGOR STRAVINSKY+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick TOP DRAGON (36.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 TOP DRAGON 36.5% 2.74 1
2 7 DAZZLING FIT 27.1% 3.68 6
3 1 SIX PACK 6.9% 14.42 5
4 9 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 6.1% 16.39 9
5 5 KA YING ATTACK 3.7% 26.73 3
6 8 ENDEARED 3.6% 27.72 8
7 6 NEW FUTURE FOLKS 3.0% 33.44 7
8 10 DRAGON JOY 3.0% 33.68 4
9 12 IGOR STRAVINSKY 2.9% 34.03 10
10 13 KA YING SUPERB 2.6% 39.16 13
11 2 SUPERB KID 1.8% 54.09 12
12 14 ONE MAN SHOW 1.5% 68.33 11
13 3 ANODE 1.2% 85.09 2
TOP DRAGON — wonDAZZLING FITSIX PACKARMOUR WAR EAGLEKA YING ATTACKENDEAREDNEW FUTURE FOLKSDRAGON JOYIGOR STRAVINSKYKA YING SUPERBSUPERB KIDONE MAN SHOWANODE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 35

PLACE

3 55

4 15

5 28.5

QUINELLA

3,4 330

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 119

3,5 262

4,5 67

FORECAST

4,3 537

TIERCE

4,3,5 3,335

TRIO

3,4,5 910

FIRST 4

3,4,5,10 3,485

QUARTET

4,3,5,10 44,144

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

13/10/3 899

13/10/4 807

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,10,14/3,4,5 136,287

9TH DOUBLE

10/3 125

10/4 73

SIX UP

5,10/8,14/1,7/6,13/10,14/3,4 93,892

5/14/7/13/10/4 1,192,979

3 [P C Ng] —

5 [M F Poon] —