Sha Tin · 2025-10-26 · 10:00
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-26 was Class 3 over 1400m. TOP DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won, with ANODE second and KA YING ATTACK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite DAZZLING FIT finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOP DRAGON Closed strongly 1:21.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 3.5 | — |
| 2 | 3 | ANODE Closed strongly R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 9 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | KA YING ATTACK Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | DRAGON JOY Closed strongly E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 42.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SIX PACK Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 1 | 2.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS Led early K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 11 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | ENDEARED Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 2 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | IGOR STRAVINSKY M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 101.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | ONE MAN SHOW K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 46.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPERB KID Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 93.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | KA YING SUPERB A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 6 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 11 | LO PAN SPIRIT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOP DRAGON | 36.5% | 2.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | DAZZLING FIT | 27.1% | 3.68 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | SIX PACK | 6.9% | 14.42 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 6.1% | 16.39 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | KA YING ATTACK | 3.7% | 26.73 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | ENDEARED | 3.6% | 27.72 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 3.0% | 33.44 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | DRAGON JOY | 3.0% | 33.68 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 2.9% | 34.03 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | KA YING SUPERB | 2.6% | 39.16 | 13 |
| 11 | 2 | SUPERB KID | 1.8% | 54.09 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | ONE MAN SHOW | 1.5% | 68.33 | 11 |
| 13 | 3 | ANODE | 1.2% | 85.09 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 35
PLACE
3 55
4 15
5 28.5
QUINELLA
3,4 330
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 119
3,5 262
4,5 67
FORECAST
4,3 537
TIERCE
4,3,5 3,335
TRIO
3,4,5 910
FIRST 4
3,4,5,10 3,485
QUARTET
4,3,5,10 44,144
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
13/10/3 899
13/10/4 807
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,14/3,4,5 136,287
9TH DOUBLE
10/3 125
10/4 73
SIX UP
5,10/8,14/1,7/6,13/10,14/3,4 93,892
5/14/7/13/10/4 1,192,979
3 [P C Ng] —
5 [M F Poon] —