跑馬地 · 2025-11-02 · 06:20
第 4場
2025-11-02跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米。由A Badel策騎、C W Chang訓練的DAY DAY VICTORY勝出。HEALTHY HEALTHY獲得亞軍；MR DESIRA獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門MR DESIRA跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DAY DAY VICTORY 0:57.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 4 | 4.1 | — |
| 2 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | MR DESIRA C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | HARMONY FIRE L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | STAR PERFORMER D Probert · M Newnham | D Probert | M Newnham | 6 | 83.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | HEROIC MASTER Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | PATCH OF WATCH A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 9 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | SPICY SPANGLE K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | LEAN MASTER P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | SERGEANT PEPPER M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 11 | 57.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | CIRCUIT HAPPY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 68.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | LUCKY TWENTY J Orman · K H Ting | J Orman | K H Ting | 3 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MR DESIRA | 34.9% | 2.86 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | LEAN MASTER | 14.7% | 6.81 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 9.4% | 10.65 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | HEROIC MASTER | 7.0% | 14.24 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | LUCKY TWENTY | 7.0% | 14.25 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 6.5% | 15.31 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | HARMONY FIRE | 5.0% | 19.95 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | PATCH OF WATCH | 4.9% | 20.31 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | CIRCUIT HAPPY | 3.2% | 30.85 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 3.0% | 33.42 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | SPICY SPANGLE | 2.5% | 39.73 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | STAR PERFORMER | 1.8% | 56.60 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 41.5
PLACE
1 15
4 16.5
11 15.5
QUINELLA
1,11 96.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 36.5
1,11 40
4,11 35.5
FORECAST
11,1 207
TIERCE
11,1,4 633
TRIO
1,4,11 125
FIRST 4
1,4,5,11 375
QUARTET
11,1,4,5 5,997
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,8/1,4,11 10,071
3RD DOUBLE
4/1 123.5
4/11 478