跑馬地 · 2025-11-02 · 07:15
第 5場
2025-11-02跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Bowman策騎、D J Whyte訓練的ARGENTO OCEAN勝出。LUCKY MCQUEEN獲得亞軍；BROWNNEEDSFURTHER獲得季軍。頭馬以4.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ARGENTO OCEAN 1:10.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 10 | LUCKY MCQUEEN M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 3 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | AUTUMN VIBES Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | EXCEED THE WISH L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 7.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | EVERSTAR K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | WIN METHOD H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 66.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | WINNING DATA R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 5 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SIGHT DREAMER A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER PACE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 72.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER D Probert · K W Lui | D Probert | K W Lui | 1 | 97.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | WINNING CIGAR K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 52.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 2 | FLYING WROTE C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AUTUMN VIBES | 31.1% | 3.22 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | EXCEED THE WISH | 17.1% | 5.86 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 15.3% | 6.52 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER | 9.4% | 10.63 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | WINNING DATA | 6.5% | 15.32 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | EVERSTAR | 4.9% | 20.51 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 4.3% | 23.47 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | SIGHT DREAMER | 4.1% | 24.23 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER PACE | 2.4% | 40.94 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | WINNING CIGAR | 2.0% | 49.67 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | WIN METHOD | 1.6% | 62.90 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER | 1.3% | 77.58 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 40
PLACE
4 16.5
5 17.5
10 41
QUINELLA
4,10 263.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 46.5
4,10 80
5,10 141
FORECAST
4,10 555
TIERCE
4,10,5 3,656
TRIO
4,5,10 551
FIRST 4
4,5,7,10 490
QUARTET
4,10,5,7 13,654
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/11/4 1,619
4/11/10 2,715
4TH DOUBLE
11/4 168.5
11/10 121