沙田 · 2025-11-09 · 09:55
第 10場
2025-11-09沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、D Eustace訓練的LIGHT YEARS CHARM勝出。AERIS NOVA獲得亞軍；MID WINTER WIND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM 後段發力 1:21.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 3 | 3.7 | — |
| 2 | 11 | AERIS NOVA 後段發力 K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | MID WINTER WIND 後段發力 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 45.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | STEPS AHEAD L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 13 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER 早段領放 H Doyle · P C Ng | H Doyle | P C Ng | 10 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | MICKLEY 後段發力 M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 14 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 後段發力 A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 12 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 5 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | YOUNG CHAMPION B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SHANWAH 後段發力 R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 9 | 57.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | KAHOLO ANGEL E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 57.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | MUGEN P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 2 | 43.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | VICTOR THE WINNER K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 8 | 72.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 30.8% | 3.25 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 19.2% | 5.20 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | STEPS AHEAD | 7.7% | 12.99 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER | 6.2% | 16.00 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 5.8% | 17.13 | 12 |
| 6 | 13 | MICKLEY | 4.2% | 23.95 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 4.1% | 24.12 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | AERIS NOVA | 4.1% | 24.63 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 3.9% | 25.32 | 14 |
| 10 | 7 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 3.8% | 26.57 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 3.1% | 31.86 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | MUGEN | 2.6% | 38.97 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | MID WINTER WIND | 2.3% | 43.00 | 3 |
| 14 | 10 | SHANWAH | 2.1% | 47.88 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 37.5
PLACE
2 17
11 27.5
14 144.5
QUINELLA
2,11 201
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 74
2,14 351
11,14 594
FORECAST
2,11 318
TIERCE
2,11,14 10,597
TRIO
2,11,14 2,527
FIRST 4
2,11,12,14 2,782
QUARTET
2,11,14,12 51,975
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
3/14/2 23,723
3/14/11 9,516
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,14/2,11,14 475,778
9TH DOUBLE
14/2 1,583
14/11 705.5
SIX UP
3,5/4,10/3,14/3,6/5,14/2,11 116,388
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —