跑馬地 · 2025-11-12 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-11-12跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的CHATEAUNEUF勝出。KING MILES獲得亞軍；MIGHTY COMMANDER獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門MIGHTY COMMANDER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF 1:09.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | KING MILES C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | MIGHTY COMMANDER A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | POWER KOEPP H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 8 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | FIND MY LOVE M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | YOUNG EMPEROR C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 3 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | FUN ELITE P N Wong · C W Chang | P N Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 8.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | LUCKY EIGHT H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPERB BOY L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | NOT USUAL PICK D Probert · W Y So | D Probert | W Y So | 4 | 73.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | ORIGIN OF FORM M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 25.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | BLUE ILLUSION A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 51.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF | 22.0% | 4.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | KING MILES | 19.3% | 5.18 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | FUN ELITE | 15.2% | 6.56 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 12.3% | 8.10 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | FIND MY LOVE | 7.0% | 14.29 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | LUCKY EIGHT | 5.1% | 19.63 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | POWER KOEPP | 4.3% | 23.43 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | ORIGIN OF FORM | 3.7% | 27.14 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPERB BOY | 3.7% | 27.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | BLUE ILLUSION | 3.3% | 30.66 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | YOUNG EMPEROR | 2.9% | 34.06 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | NOT USUAL PICK | 1.2% | 80.94 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 50.5
PLACE
1 21
4 20.5
8 16
QUINELLA
1,4 201.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 69
1,8 55
4,8 57
FORECAST
1,4 371
TIERCE
1,4,8 1,257
TRIO
1,4,8 192
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 498
QUARTET
1,4,8,2 10,158
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,8/1,4,8 19,633
6TH DOUBLE
8/1 1,341
8/4 248.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,8,11/1,4,8/1,4,8 1,386,496
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,11/1,4,8/Any Combination 27,729