跑馬地 · 2025-11-12 · 14:20
第 8場
2025-11-12跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1800米。由E C W Wong策騎、P F Yiu訓練的AWESOME FLUKE勝出。SKY VINO獲得亞軍；LIVEANDLETLIVE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門WROTE A NEW PAGE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AWESOME FLUKE 後段發力 1:49.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 2 | 30.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | SKY VINO 後段發力 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 3.3 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | LIVEANDLETLIVE 早段領放 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.2 | N |
| 4 | 12 | STAR MAC 後段發力 R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 12 | 12.0 | N |
| 5 | 5 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO 後段發力 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 16.0 | N |
| 6 | 4 | WROTE A NEW PAGE J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 7 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | EXCELLENCE VALUE 後段發力 Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 11 | 9.3 | 3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ATULLIBIGEAL H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | AESTHETICISM L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | NOBLE PURSUIT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 9 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | ROMANTIC LAOS C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 8 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| — | 3 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | CHARITY GAIN L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 26.4% | 3.78 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 18.5% | 5.39 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | SKY VINO | 13.0% | 7.70 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 12.4% | 8.08 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 5.6% | 17.92 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 5.5% | 18.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | STAR MAC | 4.4% | 22.57 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | AWESOME FLUKE | 4.3% | 23.46 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 4.2% | 24.09 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 2.9% | 34.39 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 2.8% | 35.33 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 309
PLACE
1 60
7 18
11 15
QUINELLA
1,11 478
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 162.5
1,11 146.5
7,11 34
FORECAST
1,11 1,640
TIERCE
1,11,7 6,662
TRIO
1,7,11 673
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 1,889
QUARTET
1,11,7,12 72,744
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 2,278.5
1/11 58