沙田 · 2025-11-23 · 05:50
第 3場
2025-11-23沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米。由H Bowman策騎、K W Lui訓練的DO YOUR PART勝出。NEZHA獲得亞軍；NYX GLUCK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DO YOUR PART 後段發力 1:21.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 8 | 3.2 | — |
| 2 | 2 | NEZHA 後段發力 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 5 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | NYX GLUCK 後段發力 J McDonald · W K Mo | J McDonald | W K Mo | 13 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | GLACIATED K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 7.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FLYING BOOM 後段發力 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 9 | 48.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | CIRCUIT MARSHAL 後段發力 C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 4 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | AMAZING FUN 後段發力 L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 11 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | WORLD HERO 早段領放 A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | RAGING RAPIDS B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 9.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | JUST FOLLOW ME 後段發力 H Doyle · B Crawford | H Doyle | B Crawford | 10 | 33.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | VICTORY CHAMPION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DECISION LINK Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 12 | 7.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | BIG STRIDE M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 6 | 87.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | SMILING ONE H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 14 | 125.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DO YOUR PART | 28.0% | 3.58 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | GLACIATED | 12.9% | 7.77 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | DECISION LINK | 11.9% | 8.37 | 12 |
| 4 | 3 | RAGING RAPIDS | 8.6% | 11.61 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | WORLD HERO | 6.9% | 14.43 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | NYX GLUCK | 5.3% | 18.78 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | VICTORY CHAMPION | 5.3% | 19.01 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | AMAZING FUN | 4.2% | 23.65 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | CIRCUIT MARSHAL | 4.0% | 24.74 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | JUST FOLLOW ME | 4.0% | 24.86 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | NEZHA | 3.1% | 32.46 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING BOOM | 2.9% | 34.31 | 5 |
| 13 | 13 | BIG STRIDE | 1.6% | 62.72 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | SMILING ONE | 1.2% | 83.32 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 32
PLACE
1 16.5
2 56.5
6 32
QUINELLA
1,2 497.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 176.5
1,6 61
2,6 313.5
FORECAST
1,2 806
TIERCE
1,2,6 6,515
TRIO
1,2,6 1,286
FIRST 4
1,2,6,14 1,880
QUARTET
1,2,6,14 40,214
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 155.5
8/2 136