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Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 05:50

Race 3

Class 4 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Class 4 over 1400m. DO YOUR PART, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K W Lui, won, with NEZHA second and NYX GLUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:21.66
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 DO YOUR PART Closed strongly 1:21.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K W Lui 8 3.2
2 2 NEZHA Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall 5 23.0 1
3 6 NYX GLUCK Closed strongly J McDonald · W K Mo 13 8.5 1-1/4
4 14 GLACIATED K Teetan · P C Ng 3 7.5 1-3/4
5 5 FLYING BOOM Closed strongly M F Poon · C W Chang 9 48.0 2-1/4
6 4 CIRCUIT MARSHAL Closed strongly C L Chau · M Newnham 4 20.0 3
7 11 AMAZING FUN Closed strongly L Ferraris · C H Yip 11 27.0 3
8 10 WORLD HERO Led early A Badel · D A Hayes 2 7.4 3-3/4
9 3 RAGING RAPIDS B Avdulla · J Size 1 9.0 4-1/2
10 12 JUST FOLLOW ME Closed strongly H Doyle · B Crawford 10 33.0 5-1/2
11 7 VICTORY CHAMPION K C Leung · F C Lor 7 14.0 5-3/4
12 9 DECISION LINK Z Purton · W Y So 12 7.2 6-1/2
13 13 BIG STRIDE M L Yeung · J Richards 6 87.0 7-1/4
14 8 SMILING ONE H Bentley · K H Ting 14 125.0 19-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DO YOUR PART2. NEZHA+1L3. NYX GLUCK+1.25L4. GLACIATED+1.75L5. FLYING BOOM+2.25L6. CIRCUIT MARSHAL+3L7. AMAZING FUN+3L8. WORLD HERO+3.75L9. RAGING RAPIDS+4.5L10. JUST FOLLOW ME+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DO YOUR PART (28.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 DO YOUR PART 28.0% 3.58 1
2 14 GLACIATED 12.9% 7.77 4
3 9 DECISION LINK 11.9% 8.37 12
4 3 RAGING RAPIDS 8.6% 11.61 9
5 10 WORLD HERO 6.9% 14.43 8
6 6 NYX GLUCK 5.3% 18.78 3
7 7 VICTORY CHAMPION 5.3% 19.01 11
8 11 AMAZING FUN 4.2% 23.65 7
9 4 CIRCUIT MARSHAL 4.0% 24.74 6
10 12 JUST FOLLOW ME 4.0% 24.86 10
11 2 NEZHA 3.1% 32.46 2
12 5 FLYING BOOM 2.9% 34.31 5
13 13 BIG STRIDE 1.6% 62.72 13
14 8 SMILING ONE 1.2% 83.32 14
DO YOUR PART — wonGLACIATEDDECISION LINKRAGING RAPIDSWORLD HERONYX GLUCKVICTORY CHAMPIONAMAZING FUNCIRCUIT MARSHALJUST FOLLOW MENEZHAFLYING BOOMBIG STRIDESMILING ONE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 32

PLACE

1 16.5

2 56.5

6 32

QUINELLA

1,2 497.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 176.5

1,6 61

2,6 313.5

FORECAST

1,2 806

TIERCE

1,2,6 6,515

TRIO

1,2,6 1,286

FIRST 4

1,2,6,14 1,880

QUARTET

1,2,6,14 40,214

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

8/1 155.5

8/2 136