Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 13:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FIT FOR BEAUTY Closed strongly 1:21.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 3 | 3.5 | — |
| 2 | 11 | LUCKY MAN Closed strongly B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | THOUSAND SPIRIT Led early L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | SUPER SICARIO Closed strongly D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 9 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SUNNY Q Closed strongly A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 4 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY BOSS Closed strongly C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 12 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | RAINBOW SEVEN Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 2 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | BRIGHT DAY J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 14 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | FRANTANCK A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 7 | 19.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 25.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | FLASH STAR R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 5 | 104.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR H Doyle · A S Cruz | H Doyle | A S Cruz | 11 | 43.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | SPARKLE AND GOLD Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 8 | 29.0 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Class 4 over 1400m. FIT FOR BEAUTY, ridden by J McDonald and trained by J Size, won, with LUCKY MAN second and THOUSAND SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUNNY Q | 28.4% | 3.52 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | BRIGHT DAY | 17.2% | 5.81 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS | 9.1% | 10.96 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 7.5% | 13.27 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | RAINBOW SEVEN | 7.0% | 14.26 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCKY MAN | 6.0% | 16.77 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 4.7% | 21.49 | 13 |
| 8 | 14 | SUPER SICARIO | 3.7% | 26.92 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 3.4% | 29.84 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S | 3.3% | 30.11 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | SPARKLE AND GOLD | 3.0% | 33.02 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | HAPPY BOSS | 2.8% | 35.11 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | FRANTANCK | 2.2% | 45.64 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | FLASH STAR | 1.7% | 59.71 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 35
PLACE
1 39
8 15.5
11 17
QUINELLA
8,11 77.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 96.5
1,11 115.5
8,11 34
FORECAST
8,11 170
TIERCE
8,11,1 1,606
TRIO
1,8,11 487
FIRST 4
1,8,11,14 1,766
QUARTET
8,11,1,14 24,968
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/8 1,350
10/11 309.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,10/1,8,11 230,036