Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 06:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Class 4 over 1200m. MABUBU, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won, with ALL'S WELL second and JUBILANT STAR third. The 2.3 favourite MADE FOR LIFE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MABUBU 1:09.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 29.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | ALL'S WELL H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 3 | 6.9 | N |
| 3 | 6 | JUBILANT STAR J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 13 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | MADE FOR LIFE B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 4 | 2.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | ONE MAN SHOW K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | CALIFORNIA BAY M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | JUBILATION FOR ALL R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 9 | 98.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | GROOVY FEELING M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 6 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | PRECISION HOPE A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 2 | 33.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | TIER FLY L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 7 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | AMAZING KID A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 47.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | ADORABLE SMILE L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 14 | 136.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | COPARTNER FLEET K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 11 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | AMO ERGO SUM K De Melo · B Crawford | K De Melo | B Crawford | 12 | 93.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MADE FOR LIFE | 17.8% | 5.62 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | ALL'S WELL | 15.7% | 6.38 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | JUBILANT STAR | 13.8% | 7.26 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA BAY | 12.9% | 7.74 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | TIER FLY | 9.8% | 10.17 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | COPARTNER FLEET | 5.3% | 18.79 | 13 |
| 7 | 10 | MABUBU | 4.1% | 24.41 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | PRECISION HOPE | 3.8% | 26.66 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | AMAZING KID | 3.6% | 28.15 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | ADORABLE SMILE | 3.2% | 31.36 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | ONE MAN SHOW | 3.0% | 33.33 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | GROOVY FEELING | 3.0% | 33.36 | 8 |
| 13 | 8 | AMO ERGO SUM | 2.9% | 34.03 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | JUBILATION FOR ALL | 1.1% | 87.45 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 295.5
PLACE
4 20.5
6 27.5
10 68
QUINELLA
4,10 903.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 80.5
4,10 239
6,10 394.5
FORECAST
10,4 1,979
TIERCE
10,4,6 14,868
TRIO
4,6,10 2,574
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 1,159
QUARTET
10,4,6,11 51,585