Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 15:14
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | INVINCIBLE IBIS Closed strongly 1:21.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 2 | 1.5 | — |
| 2 | 13 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 9 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | THE RED HARE Closed strongly H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SMART AVENUE Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | STAR SATYR Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 79.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 1 | 9.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 11 | 49.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST Closed strongly C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 13 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | LUCY IN THE SKY Led early H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 8.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | MOTOR A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 8 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | SUPERB KID Closed strongly J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 10 | 107.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | SEWARD L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 5 | 76.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | LO PAN SPIRIT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 12 | 73.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 9 | FAMILY KNIGHT P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Class 3 over 1400m. INVINCIBLE IBIS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by M Newnham, won, with EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS second and THE RED HARE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | INVINCIBLE IBIS | 56.2% | 1.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | THE RED HARE | 7.8% | 12.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 5.1% | 19.68 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST | 5.0% | 20.13 | 8 |
| 5 | 14 | MOTOR | 4.2% | 23.55 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 3.8% | 26.33 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | SEWARD | 3.4% | 29.29 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | MONARCH COUNTY | 3.4% | 29.54 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 3.3% | 30.17 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 3.0% | 32.92 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | SMART AVENUE | 2.2% | 45.91 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | STAR SATYR | 1.5% | 67.95 | 5 |
| 13 | 3 | SUPERB KID | 1.2% | 86.37 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 15.5
PLACE
7 11
12 27
13 24.5
QUINELLA
7,13 66.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 37.5
7,13 32.5
12,13 145.5
FORECAST
7,13 92
TIERCE
7,13,12 782
TRIO
7,12,13 261
FIRST 4
7,11,12,13 1,008
QUARTET
7,13,12,11 8,006
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/7/7,9 271
1/7/13 425
4TH DOUBLE
7/7,9 53.5
7/13 123.5