Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 07:50

Race 6

Group 2 1200m Course B+2 10 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Group 2 over 1200m. KA YING RISING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won, with FAST NETWORK second and HELIOS EXPRESS third. Victory came as the 1.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:07.33

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	1	KA YING RISING 1:07.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes	Z Purton	D A Hayes	10	128 lb	1.0	—
2	6	FAST NETWORK J McDonald · C H Yip	J McDonald	C H Yip	2	123 lb	18.0	2-3/4
3	3	HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size	H Bowman	J Size	3	123 lb	38.0	4-1/2
4	2	LUCKY SWEYNESSE K C Leung · K L Man	K C Leung	K L Man	5	123 lb	43.0	4-1/2
5	7	RAGING BLIZZARD B Avdulla · J Size	B Avdulla	J Size	1	123 lb	42.0	4-1/2
6	4	LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor	L Ferraris	F C Lor	9	123 lb	110.0	4-3/4
7	8	TOMODACHI KOKOROE H Bentley · D A Hayes	H Bentley	D A Hayes	8	123 lb	22.0	5-1/2
8	9	WUNDERBAR J Orman · J Size	J Orman	J Size	7	123 lb	55.0	6-1/4
9	10	DIVANO H Doyle · K W Lui	H Doyle	K W Lui	4	123 lb	80.0	7-1/4
10	5	BEAUTY WAVES M F Poon · A S Cruz	M F Poon	A S Cruz	6	123 lb	76.0	8-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26

The model's top pick KA YING RISING (31.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	1	KA YING RISING	31.7%	3.15	1	1.0
2	8	TOMODACHI KOKOROE	20.4%	4.90	7	22.0
3	3	HELIOS EXPRESS	9.8%	10.22	3	38.0
4	7	RAGING BLIZZARD	9.7%	10.30	5	42.0
5	6	FAST NETWORK	7.2%	13.85	2	18.0
6	2	LUCKY SWEYNESSE	6.4%	15.56	4	43.0
7	10	DIVANO	5.1%	19.78	9	80.0
8	9	WUNDERBAR	4.2%	23.70	8	55.0
9	4	LUCKY WITH YOU	2.8%	35.49	6	110.0
10	5	BEAUTY WAVES	2.7%	37.43	10	76.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 10.5

PLACE

1 10.1

3 30.5

6 21

QUINELLA

1,6 35

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 31.5

1,6 20.5

3,6 113.5

FORECAST

1,6 48

TIERCE

1,6,3 269

TRIO

1,3,6 128

FIRST 4

1,2,3,6 231

QUARTET

1,6,3,2 1,783

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

12,13>7,9/1,3,6 3,506

5TH DOUBLE

7,9/1 17.5

7,9/6 91

TRIPLE TRIO

7,8,11/12,13>7,9/1,3,6 1,401,888

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

7,8,11/12,13>7,9/Any Combination 15,484

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