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Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 16:57

Race 8

Group 2 2000m Course B+2 9 runners

Result

Official · 2:03.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly 2:03.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum 2 1.4 —
2 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE Led early Z Purton · P F Yiu 4 3.2 1-1/2
3 9 KA YING GENERATION Closed strongly L Ferraris · P C Ng 3 57.0 3-1/4
4 4 STRAIGHT ARRON C Y Ho · D A Hayes 1 21.0 3-1/4
5 6 BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 8 21.0 4
6 5 ENSUED B Avdulla · J Size 5 45.0 5
7 3 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly K C Leung · A S Cruz 9 43.0 5-1/4
8 8 SWORD POINT D Probert · F C Lor 7 112.0 10
9 7 LA CITY BLANCHE M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 102.0 11-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Group 2 over 2000m. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and KA YING GENERATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROMANTIC WARRIOR—2. VOYAGE BUBBLE+1.5L3. KA YING GENERATION+3.25L4. STRAIGHT ARRON+3.25L5. BUNDLE AWARD+4L6. ENSUED+5L7. BEAUTY JOY+5.25L8. SWORD POINT+10L9. LA CITY BLANCHE+11.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ROMANTIC WARRIOR (51.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ROMANTIC WARRIOR 51.1% 1.96 1
2 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE 21.3% 4.70 2
3 4 STRAIGHT ARRON 6.9% 14.39 4
4 6 BUNDLE AWARD 6.7% 15.03 5
5 3 BEAUTY JOY 3.6% 27.90 7
6 5 ENSUED 3.0% 33.55 6
7 9 KA YING GENERATION 2.9% 34.17 3
8 7 LA CITY BLANCHE 2.8% 36.01 9
9 8 SWORD POINT 1.7% 57.24 8
ROMANTIC WARRIOR — wonVOYAGE BUBBLESTRAIGHT ARRONBUNDLE AWARDBEAUTY JOYENSUEDKA YING GENERATIONLA CITY BLANCHESWORD POINT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 14

PLACE

1 11

2 10.1

9 63

QUINELLA

1,2 16

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 12.5

1,9 119.5

2,9 157

FORECAST

1,2 24

TIERCE

1,2,9 345

TRIO

1,2,9 147

FIRST 4

1,2,4,9 201

QUARTET

1,2,9,4 1,367

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,5,8/1,2,9 44,935

7TH DOUBLE

2/1 105

2/2 33