Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 09:00
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Group 2 over 2000m. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and KA YING GENERATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly 2:03.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 2 | 1.4 | — |
| 2 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Led early Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | KA YING GENERATION Closed strongly L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 3 | 57.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | STRAIGHT ARRON C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 1 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | ENSUED B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 45.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 9 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SWORD POINT D Probert · F C Lor | D Probert | F C Lor | 7 | 112.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | LA CITY BLANCHE M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 102.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 51.1% | 1.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 21.3% | 4.70 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 6.9% | 14.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | BUNDLE AWARD | 6.7% | 15.03 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY | 3.6% | 27.90 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | ENSUED | 3.0% | 33.55 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | KA YING GENERATION | 2.9% | 34.17 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.8% | 36.01 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | SWORD POINT | 1.7% | 57.24 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 14
PLACE
1 11
2 10.1
9 63
QUINELLA
1,2 16
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 12.5
1,9 119.5
2,9 157
FORECAST
1,2 24
TIERCE
1,2,9 345
TRIO
1,2,9 147
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 201
QUARTET
1,2,9,4 1,367
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/1,2,9 44,935
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 105
2/2 33