Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 08:25
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Group 2 over 1600m. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P C Ng, won, with SUNLIGHT POWER second and HAPPY TOGETHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.4 favourite MY WISH finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly 1:32.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 2 | 6.3 | — |
| 2 | 8 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 13 | 27.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | MY WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 1.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | PATCH OF THETA K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 12 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | COPARTNER PRANCE K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 73.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 11 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | ENCOUNTERED K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 1 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | MOMENTS IN TIME R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 3 | 71.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | PRAY FOR MIR Led early M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | RED LION H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 113.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MY WISH | 40.3% | 2.48 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 12.9% | 7.74 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | ENCOUNTERED | 5.7% | 17.41 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | RED LION | 4.7% | 21.44 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 4.6% | 21.59 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 3.9% | 25.49 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 3.4% | 29.52 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 3.2% | 31.60 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | PATCH OF THETA | 3.0% | 32.84 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 2.6% | 39.19 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | PRAY FOR MIR | 2.5% | 39.24 | 11 |
| 13 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 1.7% | 58.47 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 63.5
PLACE
2 15.5
5 22.5
8 46
QUINELLA
2,8 700.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 61
2,8 145.5
5,8 225.5
FORECAST
2,8 1,174
TIERCE
2,8,5 5,981
TRIO
2,5,8 1,001
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 324
QUARTET
2,8,5,7 13,355
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 75
1/8 47