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Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 16:23

Race 7

Group 2 1600m Course B+2 13 runners

Result

Official · 1:32.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly 1:32.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P C Ng 2 6.3 —
2 8 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly H Doyle · P F Yiu 13 27.0 1/2
3 5 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor 7 15.0 1/2
4 7 MY WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham 4 1.4 1
5 10 PATCH OF THETA K C Leung · K W Lui 12 51.0 3-1/2
6 9 COPARTNER PRANCE K De Melo · K W Lui 10 32.0 3-1/2
7 4 CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly C L Chau · K W Lui 9 73.0 4
8 13 LIGHT YEARS CHARM Z Purton · D Eustace 11 11.0 4-1/4
9 11 ENCOUNTERED K Teetan · B Crawford 1 38.0 5
10 6 MOMENTS IN TIME R Kingscote · C S Shum 3 71.0 5-1/2
11 12 PRAY FOR MIR Led early M Chadwick · W K Mo 5 42.0 5-3/4
12 1 RED LION H Bowman · J Size 6 31.0 6
13 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL B Avdulla · J Size 8 113.0 6

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Group 2 over 1600m. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P C Ng, won, with SUNLIGHT POWER second and HAPPY TOGETHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.4 favourite MY WISH finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALAXY PATCH—2. SUNLIGHT POWER+0.5L3. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.5L4. MY WISH+1L5. PATCH OF THETA+3.5L6. COPARTNER PRANCE+3.5L7. CHANCHENG GLORY+4L8. LIGHT YEARS CHARM+4.25L9. ENCOUNTERED+5L10. MOMENTS IN TIME+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MY WISH (40.3%) finished 4th — the winner GALAXY PATCH was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 MY WISH 40.3% 2.48 4
2 13 LIGHT YEARS CHARM 12.9% 7.74 8
3 2 GALAXY PATCH 11.4% 8.74 1
4 11 ENCOUNTERED 5.7% 17.41 9
5 1 RED LION 4.7% 21.44 12
6 4 CHANCHENG GLORY 4.6% 21.59 7
7 5 HAPPY TOGETHER 3.9% 25.49 3
8 8 SUNLIGHT POWER 3.4% 29.52 2
9 6 MOMENTS IN TIME 3.2% 31.60 10
10 10 PATCH OF THETA 3.0% 32.84 5
11 9 COPARTNER PRANCE 2.6% 39.19 6
12 12 PRAY FOR MIR 2.5% 39.24 11
13 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL 1.7% 58.47 13
MY WISHLIGHT YEARS CHARMGALAXY PATCH — wonENCOUNTEREDRED LIONCHANCHENG GLORYHAPPY TOGETHERSUNLIGHT POWERMOMENTS IN TIMEPATCH OF THETACOPARTNER PRANCEPRAY FOR MIRBEAUTY ETERNAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 63.5

PLACE

2 15.5

5 22.5

8 46

QUINELLA

2,8 700.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 61

2,8 145.5

5,8 225.5

FORECAST

2,8 1,174

TIERCE

2,8,5 5,981

TRIO

2,5,8 1,001

FIRST 4

2,5,7,8 324

QUARTET

2,8,5,7 13,355

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

1/2 75

1/8 47