沙田 · 2025-11-23 · 08:25
第 7場
2025-11-23沙田第7場,Group 2,途程1600米。由J McDonald策騎、P C Ng訓練的GALAXY PATCH勝出。SUNLIGHT POWER獲得亞軍;HAPPY TOGETHER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.4倍大熱門MY WISH跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH 後段發力 1:32.88 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 2 | 6.3 | — |
| 2 | 8 | SUNLIGHT POWER 後段發力 H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 13 | 27.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY TOGETHER 後段發力 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | MY WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 1.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | PATCH OF THETA K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 12 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | COPARTNER PRANCE K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY 後段發力 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 73.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 11 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | ENCOUNTERED K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 1 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | MOMENTS IN TIME R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 3 | 71.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | PRAY FOR MIR 早段領放 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | RED LION H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 113.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MY WISH | 40.3% | 2.48 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 12.9% | 7.74 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | ENCOUNTERED | 5.7% | 17.41 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | RED LION | 4.7% | 21.44 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 4.6% | 21.59 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 3.9% | 25.49 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 3.4% | 29.52 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 3.2% | 31.60 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | PATCH OF THETA | 3.0% | 32.84 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 2.6% | 39.19 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | PRAY FOR MIR | 2.5% | 39.24 | 11 |
| 13 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 1.7% | 58.47 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 63.5
PLACE
2 15.5
5 22.5
8 46
QUINELLA
2,8 700.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 61
2,8 145.5
5,8 225.5
FORECAST
2,8 1,174
TIERCE
2,8,5 5,981
TRIO
2,5,8 1,001
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 324
QUARTET
2,8,5,7 13,355
全部彩池(另 1 項)
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 75
1/8 47