沙田 · 2025-11-23 · 06:20
第 4場
2025-11-23沙田第4場，Class 3，途程2000米。由H T Mo策騎、K W Lui訓練的WINNING WING勝出。PRESTIGE GOOD獲得亞軍；SNOWFIELD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WINNING WING 後段發力 2:01.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 1 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 11 | PRESTIGE GOOD 後段發力 R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 7 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | SNOWFIELD 後段發力 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 12 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY 後段發力 H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | ENTHRALLED 後段發力 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | ROMANTIC THOR J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | NOISY BOY E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | BRAVEHEARTS 後段發力 M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 14 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | AGENDA 後段發力 H Doyle · D J Hall | H Doyle | D J Hall | 8 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | STUNNING PEACH Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 5.3 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | ARIEL 早段領放 P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 46.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | GREY CHARGER D Probert · D Eustace | D Probert | D Eustace | 13 | 97.0 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WINNING WING | 19.5% | 5.14 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY | 14.5% | 6.92 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | STUNNING PEACH | 13.6% | 7.36 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND | 9.5% | 10.56 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | ROMANTIC THOR | 6.2% | 16.08 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | NOISY BOY | 5.8% | 17.37 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | SNOWFIELD | 5.6% | 17.99 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | MONEY CATCHER | 5.3% | 18.80 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | ARIEL | 4.7% | 21.19 | 13 |
| 10 | 4 | BRAVEHEARTS | 4.7% | 21.29 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | ENTHRALLED | 3.4% | 29.50 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | AGENDA | 3.3% | 29.99 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 3.1% | 32.58 | 2 |
| 14 | 13 | GREY CHARGER | 0.9% | 106.12 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 29.5
PLACE
7 13
8 54.5
11 47.5
QUINELLA
7,11 266
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 115.5
7,11 101
8,11 565.5
FORECAST
7,11 479
TIERCE
7,11,8 5,755
TRIO
7,8,11 1,734
FIRST 4
5,7,8,11 2,921
QUARTET
7,11,8,5 52,781
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,6/7,8,11 517,736
3RD DOUBLE
1/7 137
1/11 278.5