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Sha Tin · 2025-11-23 · 06:20

Race 4

Class 3 2000m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-23 was Class 3 over 2000m. WINNING WING, ridden by H T Mo and trained by K W Lui, won, with PRESTIGE GOOD second and SNOWFIELD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Result

Official · 2:01.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 WINNING WING Closed strongly 2:01.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · K W Lui 1 2.9
2 11 PRESTIGE GOOD Closed strongly R Kingscote · P F Yiu 7 16.0 N
3 8 SNOWFIELD Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham 12 22.0 1-1/4
4 5 GENTLEMEN LEGACY Closed strongly H Bowman · A S Cruz 4 8.2 2-1/4
5 10 ENTHRALLED Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size 9 35.0 2-1/4
6 6 ROMANTIC THOR J McDonald · C S Shum 2 12.0 2-3/4
7 3 NOISY BOY E C W Wong · C H Yip 3 10.0 3
8 4 BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly M F Poon · M Newnham 14 22.0 4-1/4
9 14 AGENDA Closed strongly H Doyle · D J Hall 8 17.0 5-1/4
10 1 JUMBO LEGEND C Y Ho · C Fownes 6 30.0 5-1/2
11 2 STUNNING PEACH Z Purton · A S Cruz 10 5.3 7-1/2
12 12 MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor 11 10.0 9-1/4
13 9 ARIEL Led early P N Wong · D A Hayes 5 46.0 11-1/2
14 13 GREY CHARGER D Probert · D Eustace 13 97.0 19

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WINNING WING2. PRESTIGE GOOD+0.05L3. SNOWFIELD+1.25L4. GENTLEMEN LEGACY+2.25L5. ENTHRALLED+2.25L6. ROMANTIC THOR+2.75L7. NOISY BOY+3L8. BRAVEHEARTS+4.25L9. AGENDA+5.25L10. JUMBO LEGEND+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WINNING WING (19.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 WINNING WING 19.5% 5.14 1
2 5 GENTLEMEN LEGACY 14.5% 6.92 4
3 2 STUNNING PEACH 13.6% 7.36 11
4 1 JUMBO LEGEND 9.5% 10.56 10
5 6 ROMANTIC THOR 6.2% 16.08 6
6 3 NOISY BOY 5.8% 17.37 7
7 8 SNOWFIELD 5.6% 17.99 3
8 12 MONEY CATCHER 5.3% 18.80 12
9 9 ARIEL 4.7% 21.19 13
10 4 BRAVEHEARTS 4.7% 21.29 8
11 10 ENTHRALLED 3.4% 29.50 5
12 14 AGENDA 3.3% 29.99 9
13 11 PRESTIGE GOOD 3.1% 32.58 2
14 13 GREY CHARGER 0.9% 106.12 14
WINNING WING — wonGENTLEMEN LEGACYSTUNNING PEACHJUMBO LEGENDROMANTIC THORNOISY BOYSNOWFIELDMONEY CATCHERARIELBRAVEHEARTSENTHRALLEDAGENDAPRESTIGE GOODGREY CHARGER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 29.5

PLACE

7 13

8 54.5

11 47.5

QUINELLA

7,11 266

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 115.5

7,11 101

8,11 565.5

FORECAST

7,11 479

TIERCE

7,11,8 5,755

TRIO

7,8,11 1,734

FIRST 4

5,7,8,11 2,921

QUARTET

7,11,8,5 52,781

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,6/7,8,11 517,736

3RD DOUBLE

1/7 137

1/11 278.5