沙田 · 2025-11-30 · 05:50
第 3場
2025-11-30沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Badel策騎、C W Chang訓練的DAY DAY VICTORY勝出。GLACIATED獲得亞軍；THUNDER PRINCE獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門GLACIATED跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DAY DAY VICTORY 1:08.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 10 | 7.4 | — |
| 2 | 9 | GLACIATED M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 9 | 3.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | THUNDER PRINCE H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 4 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | WINNING MACHINE H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 4.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | KING DANCE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | REZEKI J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 6 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ROBOT KNIGHT H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 8 | 7.7 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | SHINYU KOKOROE D Probert · B Crawford | D Probert | B Crawford | 11 | 22.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | WINNING CIGAR K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 36.0 | 14 |
| 10 | 6 | GIMME FIVE K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 12.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 83.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | BILLION TWO R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 5 | 74.0 | 21-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THUNDER PRINCE | 24.5% | 4.08 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | GLACIATED | 18.7% | 5.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | GIMME FIVE | 12.5% | 8.03 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | REZEKI | 11.4% | 8.75 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 8.6% | 11.66 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 7.9% | 12.63 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | WINNING MACHINE | 7.9% | 12.69 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | KING DANCE | 2.5% | 40.14 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 1.9% | 51.30 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN | 1.4% | 69.97 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | WINNING CIGAR | 1.4% | 70.53 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | BILLION TWO | 1.2% | 82.73 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 74.5
PLACE
3 22
4 23
9 15.5
QUINELLA
4,9 144
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 84.5
3,9 54.5
4,9 55.5
FORECAST
4,9 345
TIERCE
4,9,3 1,374
TRIO
3,4,9 233
FIRST 4
3,4,9,12 281
QUARTET
4,9,3,12 6,664
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
9/4 1,248
9/9 117