沙田 · 2025-11-30 · 08:45
第 8場
2025-11-30沙田第8場，Class 2，途程1000米。由Z Purton策騎、D Eustace訓練的COLOURFUL KING勝出。CRIMSON FLASH獲得亞軍；BABY CRYSTAL獲得季軍。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COLOURFUL KING 0:56.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 2 | 3.8 | — |
| 2 | 12 | CRIMSON FLASH A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 4 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | BABY CRYSTAL K De Melo · B Crawford | K De Melo | B Crawford | 9 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | WE ARE HERO H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 5 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CHATEAUNEUF H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 11 | 30.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 14 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | MAGIC CONTROL J McDonald · W K Mo | J McDonald | W K Mo | 13 | 3.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | WONDER KIT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 67.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | KAHOLO ANGEL R Kingscote · C Fownes | R Kingscote | C Fownes | 12 | 57.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | AURORA LADY A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SAGE H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | RED ELEGANCE M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 8 | 83.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPERB CAPITALIST M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 40.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COLOURFUL KING | 32.9% | 3.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | CRIMSON FLASH | 25.6% | 3.91 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | MAGIC CONTROL | 7.0% | 14.30 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | BABY CRYSTAL | 4.6% | 21.67 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | WE ARE HERO | 4.3% | 23.00 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE | 4.1% | 24.28 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 3.3% | 29.96 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 3.2% | 31.22 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | AURORA LADY | 3.2% | 31.61 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | CHATEAUNEUF | 3.0% | 33.29 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 2.9% | 34.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | WONDER KIT | 2.9% | 34.52 | 8 |
| 13 | 5 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 1.6% | 63.90 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | RED ELEGANCE | 1.3% | 77.35 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 38
PLACE
4 15.5
6 28.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
4,12 72
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 94
4,12 33
6,12 94.5
FORECAST
4,12 175
TIERCE
4,12,6 1,397
TRIO
4,6,12 333
FIRST 4
4,6,12,13 581
QUARTET
4,12,6,13 10,690
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,8/4,6,12 28,398
7TH DOUBLE
2/4 230.5
2/12 44.5