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Sha Tin · 2025-11-30 · 08:45

Race 8

Class 2 1000m Course C 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-30 was Class 2 over 1000m. COLOURFUL KING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D Eustace, won, with CRIMSON FLASH second and BABY CRYSTAL third. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 0:56.35
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 COLOURFUL KING 0:56.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D Eustace 2 3.8
2 12 CRIMSON FLASH A Atzeni · M Newnham 4 4.0 1-1/2
3 6 BABY CRYSTAL K De Melo · B Crawford 9 9.1 2-1/4
4 13 WE ARE HERO H Doyle · K L Man 5 19.0 2-1/4
5 8 CHATEAUNEUF H Bentley · D A Hayes 11 30.0 2-3/4
6 3 LADY'S CHOICE K C Leung · C W Chang 14 13.0 3-1/2
7 2 MAGIC CONTROL J McDonald · W K Mo 13 3.9 4-1/4
8 14 WONDER KIT K Teetan · Y S Tsui 10 67.0 5-1/4
9 9 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS L Hewitson · M Newnham 7 22.0 5-1/2
10 5 KAHOLO ANGEL R Kingscote · C Fownes 12 57.0 5-3/4
11 11 AURORA LADY A Badel · P C Ng 1 39.0 5-3/4
12 1 INVINCIBLE SAGE H Bowman · D J Hall 6 29.0 6
13 10 RED ELEGANCE M L Yeung · D J Whyte 8 83.0 8-1/4
14 7 SUPERB CAPITALIST M Chadwick · A S Cruz 3 40.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COLOURFUL KING2. CRIMSON FLASH+1.5L3. BABY CRYSTAL+2.25L4. WE ARE HERO+2.25L5. CHATEAUNEUF+2.75L6. LADY'S CHOICE+3.5L7. MAGIC CONTROL+4.25L8. WONDER KIT+5.25L9. YOUTHFUL SPIRITS+5.5L10. KAHOLO ANGEL+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick COLOURFUL KING (32.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 COLOURFUL KING 32.9% 3.04 1
2 12 CRIMSON FLASH 25.6% 3.91 2
3 2 MAGIC CONTROL 7.0% 14.30 7
4 6 BABY CRYSTAL 4.6% 21.67 3
5 13 WE ARE HERO 4.3% 23.00 4
6 3 LADY'S CHOICE 4.1% 24.28 6
7 1 INVINCIBLE SAGE 3.3% 29.96 12
8 7 SUPERB CAPITALIST 3.2% 31.22 14
9 11 AURORA LADY 3.2% 31.61 11
10 8 CHATEAUNEUF 3.0% 33.29 5
11 9 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS 2.9% 34.08 9
12 14 WONDER KIT 2.9% 34.52 8
13 5 KAHOLO ANGEL 1.6% 63.90 10
14 10 RED ELEGANCE 1.3% 77.35 13
COLOURFUL KING — wonCRIMSON FLASHMAGIC CONTROLBABY CRYSTALWE ARE HEROLADY'S CHOICEINVINCIBLE SAGESUPERB CAPITALISTAURORA LADYCHATEAUNEUFYOUTHFUL SPIRITSWONDER KITKAHOLO ANGELRED ELEGANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 38

PLACE

4 15.5

6 28.5

12 17.5

QUINELLA

4,12 72

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 94

4,12 33

6,12 94.5

FORECAST

4,12 175

TIERCE

4,12,6 1,397

TRIO

4,6,12 333

FIRST 4

4,6,12,13 581

QUARTET

4,12,6,13 10,690

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,8/4,6,12 28,398

7TH DOUBLE

2/4 230.5

2/12 44.5