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Sha Tin · 2025-11-30 · 09:55

Race 10

Class 3 1600m Course C 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-30 was Class 3 over 1600m. DAZZLING FIT, ridden by J McDonald and trained by D Eustace, won, with BEAUTY BOLT second and WITHALLMYFAITH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite BEAUTY BOLT finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:34.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly 1:34.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · D Eustace 14 4.4
2 1 BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly Z Purton · A S Cruz 5 3.9 SH
3 14 WITHALLMYFAITH Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 4 19.0 HD
4 6 URANUS STAR Led early M Guyon · K W Lui 1 25.0 1-1/4
5 12 BLAZING WUKONG A Atzeni · P F Yiu 2 4.0 1-1/2
6 4 SIX PACK Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte 10 21.0 2
7 3 POPE CODY J Orman · Y S Tsui 3 10.0 2-1/4
8 8 LEGEND WINNER Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham 6 54.0 2-1/4
9 11 SKY VINO Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes 11 14.0 2-3/4
10 13 WINNING GOLD Closed strongly M Chadwick · W Y So 8 66.0 3
11 9 ROMANTIC LAOS B Avdulla · W K Mo 9 134.0 3-3/4
12 5 YUEN LONG ELITE H Doyle · K L Man 12 10.0 4-3/4
13 2 TOURBILLON PRINCE L Hewitson · C W Chang 7 73.0 6-1/2
14 10 MASTER TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor 13 32.0 12-1/4
13 LEGENDARY YEARS K Teetan · B Crawford

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DAZZLING FIT2. BEAUTY BOLT+0.1L3. WITHALLMYFAITH+0.2L4. URANUS STAR+1.25L5. BLAZING WUKONG+1.5L6. SIX PACK+2L7. POPE CODY+2.25L8. LEGEND WINNER+2.25L9. SKY VINO+2.75L10. WINNING GOLD+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DAZZLING FIT (19.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 DAZZLING FIT 19.6% 5.10 1
2 1 BEAUTY BOLT 19.1% 5.23 2
3 12 BLAZING WUKONG 17.8% 5.61 5
4 6 URANUS STAR 11.7% 8.54 4
5 3 POPE CODY 6.2% 16.02 7
6 11 SKY VINO 5.7% 17.45 9
7 5 YUEN LONG ELITE 4.2% 23.86 12
8 4 SIX PACK 4.2% 24.08 6
9 14 WITHALLMYFAITH 2.5% 40.37 3
10 8 LEGEND WINNER 2.2% 44.49 8
11 9 ROMANTIC LAOS 1.8% 54.18 11
12 13 WINNING GOLD 1.7% 57.65 10
13 10 MASTER TRILLION 1.6% 62.43 14
14 2 TOURBILLON PRINCE 1.5% 66.13 13
DAZZLING FIT — wonBEAUTY BOLTBLAZING WUKONGURANUS STARPOPE CODYSKY VINOYUEN LONG ELITESIX PACKWITHALLMYFAITHLEGEND WINNERROMANTIC LAOSWINNING GOLDMASTER TRILLIONTOURBILLON PRINCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 44

PLACE

1 17

7 18

14 41.5

QUINELLA

1,7 105

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 45

1,14 143.5

7,14 114.5

FORECAST

7,1 225

TIERCE

7,1,14 2,629

TRIO

1,7,14 611

FIRST 4

1,6,7,14 2,871

QUARTET

7,1,14,6 43,390

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

4/1/1 798

4/1/7 8,844

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,6/1,7,14 27,703

9TH DOUBLE

1/1 162.5

1/7 1,114.5

SIX UP

5,9/10,12/2,8/4,12/1,3/1,7 11,027

5/12/2/4/1/7 484,649

1 [Z Purton]

12 [P F Yiu]