Sha Tin · 2025-11-30 · 06:20
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-30 was Class 4 over 1200m. MAJESTIC VALOUR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won, with EVER LUCK second and LEADING AGILITY third. The 1.5 favourite EVER LUCK finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MAJESTIC VALOUR 1:08.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 6 | 5.7 | — |
| 2 | 1 | EVER LUCK J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 1 | 1.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | LEADING AGILITY M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 47.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | ROBOT STAR C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 2 | 8.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | — | 19.0 | — |
| 5 | 11 | ENJOY GOLF H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | — | 14.0 | — |
| 7 | 12 | I P O BROS M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 8 | 87.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | GOLDEN DREAM M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 41.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | GOLDEN TRIUMPH K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CROSSBORDERDUDE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | JOY CAPITAL C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 36.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | CONRAD THE GREAT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 134.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EVER LUCK | 34.8% | 2.87 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | MAJESTIC VALOUR | 23.8% | 4.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY | 13.2% | 7.56 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | ENJOY GOLF | 5.7% | 17.67 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | JOY CAPITAL | 4.3% | 23.05 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | LEADING AGILITY | 3.9% | 25.88 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | ROBOT STAR | 3.5% | 28.35 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | CROSSBORDERDUDE | 3.1% | 32.73 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | GOLDEN TRIUMPH | 2.9% | 34.88 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | GOLDEN DREAM | 2.4% | 42.07 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | I P O BROS | 1.6% | 60.73 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | CONRAD THE GREAT | 0.8% | 125.33 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 57
PLACE
1 11.5
6 89
7 17.5
QUINELLA
1,7 44
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 107
1,7 22.5
6,7 229
FORECAST
7,1 131
TIERCE
7,1,6 2,072
TRIO
1,6,7 333
FIRST 4
1,6,7,8 436
QUARTET
7,1,6,8 10,579
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/1,6,7 4,538
3RD DOUBLE
4/1 21
4/7 440.5