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Sha Tin · 2025-11-30 · 07:45

Race 6

Class 3 1200m 12 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-30 was Class 3 over 1200m. VICTORY SKY, ridden by H Doyle and trained by P F Yiu, won, with AURORA PATCH second and SUPER JOY N FUN third. The 4.2 favourite FUN N FUN TOGETHER finished 8th.

Result

Official · 1:08.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 VICTORY SKY 1:08.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Doyle · P F Yiu 10 9.0
2 10 AURORA PATCH M Chadwick · K L Man 11 11.0 1-1/4
3 4 SUPER JOY N FUN A Badel · C W Chang 12 6.5 3-1/2
4 6 BLAZING WIND J McDonald · C S Shum 1 4.8 5-1/4
5 2 MUST GO B Avdulla · J Size 5 10.0 5-1/4
6 11 OTOKOMAE R Kingscote · C H Yip 6 73.0 5-3/4
7 9 SPORTS LEGEND Z Purton · D Eustace 9 9.0 6
8 7 FUN N FUN TOGETHER E C W Wong · F C Lor 4 4.2 7-1/4
9 8 HERBAL STAR K Teetan · Y S Tsui 3 66.0 9-3/4
10 5 QUARTZ LEGEND D Probert · C Fownes 7 23.0 10-1/4
11 1 MR ENERGIA M F Poon · D J Hall 2 10.0 11-3/4
12 3 METRO POWER L Hewitson · D A Hayes 8 20.0 14

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VICTORY SKY2. AURORA PATCH+1.25L3. SUPER JOY N FUN+3.5L4. BLAZING WIND+5.25L5. MUST GO+5.25L6. OTOKOMAE+5.75L7. SPORTS LEGEND+6L8. FUN N FUN TOGETHER+7.25L9. HERBAL STAR+9.75L10. QUARTZ LEGEND+10.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BLAZING WIND (31.1%) finished 4th — the winner VICTORY SKY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 BLAZING WIND 31.1% 3.22 4
2 9 SPORTS LEGEND 12.6% 7.94 7
3 7 FUN N FUN TOGETHER 10.0% 10.03 8
4 1 MR ENERGIA 10.0% 10.03 11
5 10 AURORA PATCH 8.4% 11.92 2
6 12 VICTORY SKY 6.3% 15.83 1
7 4 SUPER JOY N FUN 5.6% 17.70 3
8 3 METRO POWER 4.3% 23.27 12
9 2 MUST GO 3.9% 25.87 5
10 5 QUARTZ LEGEND 3.5% 28.83 10
11 8 HERBAL STAR 3.1% 32.60 9
12 11 OTOKOMAE 1.4% 73.84 6
BLAZING WINDSPORTS LEGENDFUN N FUN TOGETHERMR ENERGIAAURORA PATCHVICTORY SKY — wonSUPER JOY N FUNMETRO POWERMUST GOQUARTZ LEGENDHERBAL STAROTOKOMAE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 90

PLACE

4 23

10 38.5

12 29.5

QUINELLA

10,12 566.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 114.5

4,12 91

10,12 154

FORECAST

12,10 1,097

TIERCE

12,10,4 7,262

TRIO

4,10,12 1,200

FIRST 4

4,6,10,12 1,353

QUARTET

12,10,4,6 39,564

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

5,9,13/4,10,12 68,231

5TH DOUBLE

5/10 78.5

5/12 225

TRIPLE TRIO

1,6,7/5,9,13/4,10,12 3,472,223

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,6,7/5,9,13/Any Combination 2,382