Sha Tin · 2025-11-30 · 06:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-30 was Class 4 over 1000m. PACKING GLORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won, with SIGHT HERMOSO second and GET FRIENDLY third. The 2.7 favourite SMART GOLF finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PACKING GLORY 0:57.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.4 | — |
| 2 | 2 | SIGHT HERMOSO B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | GET FRIENDLY C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CAP LINER L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 14 | 7.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SMART GOLF M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPERB BOY J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 1 | 32.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | VIVA FIRECRACKER M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HONORARY K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | FLOWING RICHES M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | FORTUNE WARRIOR H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 3 | 81.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | HYANNIS STAR A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 10 | 44.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | AQUAMAN A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 6 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | CHATER FLASH J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 9 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | LUCKY PLUS M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 11 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PACKING GLORY | 23.1% | 4.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SIGHT HERMOSO | 17.0% | 5.88 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | SMART GOLF | 12.8% | 7.79 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | GET FRIENDLY | 7.3% | 13.77 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | CAP LINER | 6.9% | 14.40 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | CHATER FLASH | 6.2% | 16.20 | 13 |
| 7 | 1 | FLOWING RICHES | 5.5% | 18.10 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | VIVA FIRECRACKER | 4.8% | 20.74 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPERB BOY | 3.3% | 30.52 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | LUCKY PLUS | 3.2% | 30.78 | 14 |
| 11 | 13 | HYANNIS STAR | 2.8% | 35.27 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | AQUAMAN | 2.7% | 37.60 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | HONORARY | 2.5% | 40.42 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 1.8% | 56.16 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 64.5
PLACE
2 17
7 40
10 24.5
QUINELLA
2,10 155.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 135.5
2,10 50
7,10 180.5
FORECAST
10,2 324
TIERCE
10,2,7 4,582
TRIO
2,7,10 882
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 953
QUARTET
10,2,7,5 20,318