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Sha Tin · 2025-11-30 · 08:15

Race 7

Class 2 1600m Course C 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-30 was Class 2 over 1600m. HONG LOK GOLF, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won, with SOLEIL FIGHTER second and STEPS AHEAD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite STEPS AHEAD finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1:34.02
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 HONG LOK GOLF Closed strongly 1:34.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So 1 4.6
2 8 SOLEIL FIGHTER Closed strongly A Atzeni · D A Hayes 13 32.0 N
3 4 STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui 6 4.5 N
4 12 SKY HEART Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes 3 7.0 2
5 1 PRAY FOR MIR M Chadwick · W K Mo 14 27.0 2-1/4
6 3 SAGACIOUS LIFE J McDonald · P C Ng 4 4.6 2-1/2
7 7 YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly M L Yeung · J Size 9 43.0 2-1/2
8 14 MICKLEY Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size 12 11.0 2-3/4
9 5 LO RIDER Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes 7 11.0 2-3/4
10 9 TALENTS AMBITION L Hewitson · M Newnham 8 40.0 3-1/4
11 6 VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early K C Leung · F C Lor 5 83.0 4-3/4
12 10 MR ASCENDENCY R Kingscote · P F Yiu 11 82.0 4-3/4
13 11 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly H Doyle · K L Man 2 14.0 6
14 13 SHANWAH K De Melo · D J Whyte 10 24.0 8-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HONG LOK GOLF2. SOLEIL FIGHTER+0.05L3. STEPS AHEAD+0.05L4. SKY HEART+2L5. PRAY FOR MIR+2.25L6. SAGACIOUS LIFE+2.5L7. YOUNG CHAMPION+2.5L8. MICKLEY+2.75L9. LO RIDER+2.75L10. TALENTS AMBITION+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SAGACIOUS LIFE (27.7%) finished 6th — the winner HONG LOK GOLF was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SAGACIOUS LIFE 27.7% 3.62 6
2 4 STEPS AHEAD 20.9% 4.79 3
3 2 HONG LOK GOLF 13.7% 7.30 1
4 5 LO RIDER 6.7% 14.98 9
5 14 MICKLEY 5.4% 18.65 8
6 11 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 5.1% 19.54 13
7 12 SKY HEART 4.9% 20.51 4
8 8 SOLEIL FIGHTER 3.9% 25.52 2
9 9 TALENTS AMBITION 3.1% 31.91 10
10 1 PRAY FOR MIR 2.2% 45.30 5
11 7 YOUNG CHAMPION 2.2% 45.83 7
12 6 VOYAGE SAMURAI 1.8% 55.74 11
13 10 MR ASCENDENCY 1.4% 73.71 12
14 13 SHANWAH 1.1% 88.34 14
SAGACIOUS LIFESTEPS AHEADHONG LOK GOLF — wonLO RIDERMICKLEYCHIU CHOW SPIRITSKY HEARTSOLEIL FIGHTERTALENTS AMBITIONPRAY FOR MIRYOUNG CHAMPIONVOYAGE SAMURAIMR ASCENDENCYSHANWAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 46

PLACE

2 16.5

4 17.5

8 88

QUINELLA

2,8 768.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 40.5

2,8 262.5

4,8 222.5

FORECAST

2,8 1,400

TIERCE

2,8,4 9,422

TRIO

2,4,8 1,214

FIRST 4

2,4,8,12 1,303

QUARTET

2,8,4,12 35,300

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

12/2 602

12/8 621