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Sha Tin · 2025-11-30 · 05:20

Race 2

Class 5 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-30 was Class 5 over 1400m. YOUNG HORIZON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with BLING BLING GENIUS second and THE CONCENTRATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite COLOURFUL WINNER finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1:22.30
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly 1:22.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford 6 11.0
2 4 BLING BLING GENIUS Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte 5 5.1 1-1/4
3 12 THE CONCENTRATION Closed strongly L Ferraris · P F Yiu 7 18.0 3
4 3 COLOURFUL WINNER Z Purton · W Y So 3 3.1 3-3/4
5 7 MY FLYING ANGEL Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor 2 7.8 3-3/4
6 6 MAJESTIC DELIGHT A Atzeni · D Eustace 4 32.0 4-1/2
7 2 ZETTA FORCE Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip 12 34.0 5
8 8 TEAM HAPPY H Doyle · P C Ng 1 6.2 5
9 13 HE WAS ME B Avdulla · A S Cruz 8 15.0 6-3/4
10 14 ISLAND GOLDEN M Guyon · K L Man 13 71.0 8-1/2
11 1 SMART ENGINEER R Kingscote · K W Lui 9 142.0 8-1/2
12 10 KA YING POWER Closed strongly M L Yeung · J Size 11 10.0 8-3/4
13 5 JOLLY JUMPER E C W Wong · W K Mo 14 49.0 9-1/2
14 11 COLONEL Led early D Probert · J Richards 10 75.0 17

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YOUNG HORIZON2. BLING BLING GENIUS+1.25L3. THE CONCENTRATION+3L4. COLOURFUL WINNER+3.75L5. MY FLYING ANGEL+3.75L6. MAJESTIC DELIGHT+4.5L7. ZETTA FORCE+5L8. TEAM HAPPY+5L9. HE WAS ME+6.75L10. ISLAND GOLDEN+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick COLOURFUL WINNER (26.5%) finished 4th — the winner YOUNG HORIZON was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 COLOURFUL WINNER 26.5% 3.78 4
2 4 BLING BLING GENIUS 12.1% 8.23 2
3 7 MY FLYING ANGEL 12.1% 8.26 5
4 8 TEAM HAPPY 9.5% 10.58 8
5 12 THE CONCENTRATION 7.7% 13.03 3
6 9 YOUNG HORIZON 7.2% 13.87 1
7 6 MAJESTIC DELIGHT 4.5% 22.47 6
8 10 KA YING POWER 4.4% 22.71 12
9 2 ZETTA FORCE 3.7% 26.78 7
10 13 HE WAS ME 3.7% 27.18 9
11 11 COLONEL 3.0% 33.17 14
12 5 JOLLY JUMPER 2.3% 42.99 13
13 14 ISLAND GOLDEN 2.1% 46.71 10
14 1 SMART ENGINEER 1.2% 84.66 11
COLOURFUL WINNERBLING BLING GENIUSMY FLYING ANGELTEAM HAPPYTHE CONCENTRATIONYOUNG HORIZON — wonMAJESTIC DELIGHTKA YING POWERZETTA FORCEHE WAS MECOLONELJOLLY JUMPERISLAND GOLDENSMART ENGINEER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 117

PLACE

4 17

9 34.5

12 51

QUINELLA

4,9 283.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,9 101

4,12 159

9,12 275.5

FORECAST

9,4 735

TIERCE

9,4,12 8,533

TRIO

4,9,12 1,712

FIRST 4

3,4,9,12 1,278

QUARTET

9,4,12,3 53,948

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/4 46.5

10/9 1,112.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,10/4,9,12 181,568