Sha Tin · 2025-11-30 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-30 was Class 3 over 1200m. MATTERS MOST, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C S Shum, won, with NEW FUTURE FOLKS second and SUPER STRONG KID third. The 1.9 favourite SUPER STRONG KID finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MATTERS MOST 1:09.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 6 | 19.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS J McDonald · C W Chang | J McDonald | C W Chang | 5 | 7.3 | N |
| 3 | 6 | SUPER STRONG KID Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 1.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT MORE C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 11 | 39.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | HEAVING L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 7 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 3 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | CORNERSTONE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 83.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 8 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | TAOGETHER K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | BIGTIME GENERATION R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 10 | 104.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | LIGHTNESS OF MUSIC M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 7.5 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | ALPHA STRIKE C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 5.4 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 1 | WINGS OF WAR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER STRONG KID | 34.2% | 2.92 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | ALPHA STRIKE | 22.3% | 4.49 | 12 |
| 3 | 3 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 10.1% | 9.89 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | LIGHTNESS OF MUSIC | 6.1% | 16.27 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | TAOGETHER | 5.3% | 19.04 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | MATTERS MOST | 5.0% | 20.18 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 3.8% | 26.20 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 3.5% | 28.78 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | HEAVING | 3.1% | 31.77 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE | 3.1% | 32.25 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | CORNERSTONE | 2.1% | 47.83 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | BIGTIME GENERATION | 1.4% | 72.39 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 196
PLACE
1 39
3 20
6 13
QUINELLA
1,3 508
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 139
1,6 66.5
3,6 29
FORECAST
1,3 977
TIERCE
1,3,6 3,824
TRIO
1,3,6 309
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 1,227
QUARTET
1,3,6,4 51,696
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
4/1 1,221.5
4/3 67.5