沙田 · 2025-12-20 · 06:05
第 3場
2025-12-20沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1400米。由A Atzeni策騎、W Y So訓練的MANYTHANKS FOREVER勝出。RATTAN GALAXY獲得亞軍；THE CONCENTRATION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門ONLY U跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER 後段發力 1:22.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 12 | 9.4 | — |
| 2 | 1 | RATTAN GALAXY 後段發力 H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 2 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | THE CONCENTRATION L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 8 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | MY FLYING ANGEL 後段發力 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BLING BLING GENIUS 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SHOTGUN J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 5 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | IRON LEGION 後段發力 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | ONLY U 後段發力 J McDonald · B Crawford | J McDonald | B Crawford | 1 | 2.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | VON BAER K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | THE WAY WE WIN 早段領放 M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 13 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 14 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | MEEPMEEP M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 11 | 51.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | SMILING EMPEROR H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 51.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | ZETTA FORCE C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 6 | 25.0 | 23-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BLING BLING GENIUS | 22.8% | 4.39 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | ONLY U | 22.0% | 4.54 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | THE CONCENTRATION | 10.0% | 9.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | VON BAER | 8.1% | 12.29 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | RATTAN GALAXY | 6.2% | 16.16 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 4.4% | 22.93 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | ZETTA FORCE | 4.3% | 23.21 | 14 |
| 8 | 7 | MEEPMEEP | 4.1% | 24.46 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | IRON LEGION | 3.8% | 26.61 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | THE WAY WE WIN | 3.3% | 30.31 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 3.1% | 32.38 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 3.0% | 32.94 | 1 |
| 13 | 11 | SHOTGUN | 2.6% | 38.78 | 6 |
| 14 | 2 | SMILING EMPEROR | 2.4% | 42.24 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 94.5
PLACE
1 41
12 39
13 36.5
QUINELLA
1,13 796
QUINELLA PLACE
1,12 279
1,13 251
12,13 223.5
FORECAST
13,1 1,774
TIERCE
13,1,12 24,919
TRIO
1,12,13 4,090
FIRST 4
1,10,12,13 14,296
QUARTET
13,1,12,10 293,069
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,12/1,12,13 242,538
2ND DOUBLE
12/1 75
12/13 922.5