沙田 · 2025-12-20 · 09:10
第 9場
2025-12-20沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1200米。由M Guyon策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY TRUST勝出。MAGIC CONTROL獲得亞軍；INVINCIBLE SHIELD獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門CRIMSON FLASH跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SKY TRUST 1:09.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Guyon · C Fownes | M Guyon | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | MAGIC CONTROL C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 8 | 42.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | PATCH OF STARS Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CRIMSON FLASH A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 2.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE H Doyle · J Size | H Doyle | J Size | 10 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 5 | 8.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | SON PAK FU M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 43.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | LADY'S CHOICE K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 4 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MUGEN K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 11 | 41.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | GORGEOUS WIN H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 3 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 11 | AURORA LADY M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CRIMSON FLASH | 27.3% | 3.66 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | PATCH OF STARS | 19.6% | 5.10 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 18.0% | 5.57 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | LADY'S CHOICE | 5.8% | 17.31 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | GORGEOUS WIN | 5.2% | 19.12 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 5.1% | 19.69 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | SKY TRUST | 4.4% | 22.61 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | SON PAK FU | 4.2% | 23.66 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | MAGIC CONTROL | 3.8% | 26.18 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 3.8% | 26.23 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | MUGEN | 2.7% | 36.70 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 109
PLACE
1 87
4 20
12 29
QUINELLA
1,12 2,272.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 432.5
1,12 516
4,12 101
FORECAST
12,1 2,450
TIERCE
12,1,4 25,017
TRIO
1,4,12 3,618
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 1,713
QUARTET
12,1,4,7 60,029
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,9/1,4,12 1,150,718
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 283
9/12 575