沙田 · 2025-12-20 · 08:10
第 7場
2025-12-20沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1600米。由J McDonald策騎、J Size訓練的FIT FOR BEAUTY勝出。AMAZING DUCK獲得亞軍；SMART FAT CAT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FIT FOR BEAUTY 後段發力 1:34.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 6 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 12 | AMAZING DUCK R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 3 | 12.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | SMART FAT CAT 後段發力 Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 8 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ALL ROUND WINNER 後段發力 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 4 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 後段發力 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 13 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 5 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SPECIAL HEDGE 後段發力 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 7 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | NAMJONG KINGDOM 後段發力 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 48.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SPLENDID FORCE D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 9 | 93.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | CIRCUIT MARSHAL C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 1 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | NEZHA 後段發力 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 14 | 23.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 11 | 29.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | BIG STRIDE M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 2 | 70.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | MULTIDUTCH 早段領放 A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 12 | 81.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 33.5% | 2.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | SMART FAT CAT | 18.7% | 5.35 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT | 10.7% | 9.33 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 5.6% | 17.74 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | CIRCUIT MARSHAL | 5.1% | 19.76 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | NEZHA | 4.8% | 20.81 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 4.7% | 21.36 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 4.1% | 24.64 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING DUCK | 3.1% | 32.29 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 2.9% | 34.34 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | MULTIDUTCH | 2.3% | 43.08 | 14 |
| 12 | 9 | NAMJONG KINGDOM | 2.2% | 44.86 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | BIG STRIDE | 1.4% | 69.22 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | SPLENDID FORCE | 0.9% | 116.33 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 29.5
PLACE
2 15
7 16.5
12 35.5
QUINELLA
2,12 214
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 29
2,12 83.5
7,12 91
FORECAST
2,12 387
TIERCE
2,12,7 1,623
TRIO
2,7,12 266
FIRST 4
2,5,7,12 680
QUARTET
2,12,7,5 13,245
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,10,14/2,7,12 4,643
6TH DOUBLE
7/2 60.5
7/12 90.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,4/7,10,14/2,7,12 170,409
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,4/7,10,14/Any Combination 695