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Sha Tin · 2025-12-20 · 16:06

Race 7

Class 4 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:34.62
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 FIT FOR BEAUTY Closed strongly 1:34.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · J Size 6 2.9 —
2 12 AMAZING DUCK R Kingscote · K H Ting 3 12.0 HD
3 7 SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly Z Purton · W K Mo 8 4.2 1/2
4 5 ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly H Bentley · D A Hayes 4 9.7 1-1/4
5 3 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT Closed strongly H Bowman · C Fownes 13 5.5 2-1/4
6 11 VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly H Doyle · P F Yiu 5 17.0 2-3/4
7 8 SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang 7 29.0 4
8 9 NAMJONG KINGDOM Closed strongly C Y Ho · W Y So 10 48.0 6-1/4
9 10 SPLENDID FORCE D Probert · D J Whyte 9 93.0 6-3/4
10 6 CIRCUIT MARSHAL C L Chau · M Newnham 1 18.0 7-1/4
11 1 NEZHA Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall 14 23.0 9-1/4
12 4 GLORIOUS SUCCESS K Teetan · D Eustace 11 29.0 11
13 14 BIG STRIDE M L Yeung · J Richards 2 70.0 12-1/2
14 13 MULTIDUTCH Led early A Atzeni · A S Cruz 12 81.0 18

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-20 was Class 4 over 1600m. FIT FOR BEAUTY, ridden by J McDonald and trained by J Size, won, with AMAZING DUCK second and SMART FAT CAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FIT FOR BEAUTY—2. AMAZING DUCK+0.2L3. SMART FAT CAT+0.5L4. ALL ROUND WINNER+1.25L5. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT+2.25L6. VOLCANIC SPARK+2.75L7. SPECIAL HEDGE+4L8. NAMJONG KINGDOM+6.25L9. SPLENDID FORCE+6.75L10. CIRCUIT MARSHAL+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FIT FOR BEAUTY (33.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 FIT FOR BEAUTY 33.5% 2.99 1
2 7 SMART FAT CAT 18.7% 5.35 3
3 3 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 10.7% 9.33 5
4 4 GLORIOUS SUCCESS 5.6% 17.74 12
5 6 CIRCUIT MARSHAL 5.1% 19.76 10
6 1 NEZHA 4.8% 20.81 11
7 11 VOLCANIC SPARK 4.7% 21.36 6
8 5 ALL ROUND WINNER 4.1% 24.64 4
9 12 AMAZING DUCK 3.1% 32.29 2
10 8 SPECIAL HEDGE 2.9% 34.34 7
11 13 MULTIDUTCH 2.3% 43.08 14
12 9 NAMJONG KINGDOM 2.2% 44.86 8
13 14 BIG STRIDE 1.4% 69.22 13
14 10 SPLENDID FORCE 0.9% 116.33 9
FIT FOR BEAUTY — wonSMART FAT CATAUDACIOUS PURSUITGLORIOUS SUCCESSCIRCUIT MARSHALNEZHAVOLCANIC SPARKALL ROUND WINNERAMAZING DUCKSPECIAL HEDGEMULTIDUTCHNAMJONG KINGDOMBIG STRIDESPLENDID FORCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 29.5

PLACE

2 15

7 16.5

12 35.5

QUINELLA

2,12 214

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 29

2,12 83.5

7,12 91

FORECAST

2,12 387

TIERCE

2,12,7 1,623

TRIO

2,7,12 266

FIRST 4

2,5,7,12 680

QUARTET

2,12,7,5 13,245

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

7,10,14/2,7,12 4,643

6TH DOUBLE

7/2 60.5

7/12 90.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,2,4/7,10,14/2,7,12 170,409

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,2,4/7,10,14/Any Combination 695

← Race 6 Race 8 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1600m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data