Sha Tin · 2025-12-20 · 09:45
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-20 was Class 3 over 1400m. THE RED HARE, ridden by H Doyle and trained by F C Lor, won, with CALIFORNIA WAVES second and DO YOUR PART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite DO YOUR PART finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | THE RED HARE Closed strongly 1:21.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 12 | 9.6 | — |
| 2 | 8 | CALIFORNIA WAVES Closed strongly B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 5 | 22.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | DO YOUR PART Closed strongly H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 1 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | RIDING TOGETHER L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 3 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | SKY JOY Led early C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 14 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | GOLDEN EMPIRE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 13 | 50.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SILO Closed strongly J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 9 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 10 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 7 | 41.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | KEMPES Closed strongly A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | WOLF COMING K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | CHEAHA Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | MASTER OF ALL C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | COLOURFUL GAN M Guyon · D J Whyte | M Guyon | D J Whyte | 2 | 76.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY JOY | 16.4% | 6.11 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | DO YOUR PART | 16.1% | 6.22 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | SILO | 14.8% | 6.76 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | MASTER OF ALL | 10.8% | 9.27 | 13 |
| 5 | 14 | THE RED HARE | 10.5% | 9.49 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | KEMPES | 6.3% | 15.88 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | CHEAHA | 5.8% | 17.13 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | RIDING TOGETHER | 4.3% | 23.42 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 3.9% | 25.57 | 2 |
| 10 | 13 | MONARCH COUNTY | 3.3% | 30.26 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | STELLAR SWIFT | 2.7% | 36.53 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 2.7% | 37.58 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | WOLF COMING | 1.4% | 71.20 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | COLOURFUL GAN | 1.0% | 96.77 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 96
PLACE
7 14.5
8 48
14 30.5
QUINELLA
8,14 792.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 80.5
7,14 56.5
8,14 239
FORECAST
14,8 1,434
TIERCE
14,8,7 7,794
TRIO
7,8,14 840
FIRST 4
4,7,8,14 2,257
QUARTET
14,8,7,4 60,728
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
12/8 257
12/14 1,014.5