Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-12-20 · 07:40

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-20 was Class 4 over 1400m. NYX GLUCK, ridden by J McDonald and trained by W K Mo, won, with GALLANT EPOCH second and YOUNG HORIZON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:21.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 NYX GLUCK Closed strongly 1:21.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · W K Mo 1 2.1
2 10 GALLANT EPOCH Closed strongly M Guyon · K W Lui 7 8.2 1-1/4
3 14 YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford 4 8.0 1-3/4
4 9 RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 13 40.0 2-1/2
5 12 ACE Closed strongly H Doyle · J Richards 2 52.0 2-1/2
6 8 PACKING KING Led early Z Purton · P C Ng 9 17.0 3
7 4 BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham 8 14.0 3
8 1 SUPER LOVE Closed strongly H Bowman · C H Yip 14 19.0 3
9 2 BRIGHT DAY J Orman · K L Man 5 19.0 3-3/4
10 3 CALIFORNIA BAY M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 12.0 4-1/2
11 11 INNO SUPER C L Chau · D Eustace 10 16.0 4-1/2
12 5 EXCELLENT BOY R Kingscote · C W Chang 3 84.0 6
13 13 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 11 20.0 7
14 6 LUCK SMILES K C Leung · W Y So 12 94.0 7

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. NYX GLUCK2. GALLANT EPOCH+1.25L3. YOUNG HORIZON+1.75L4. RAGING RAPIDS+2.5L5. ACE+2.5L6. PACKING KING+3L7. BULL ATTITUDE+3L8. SUPER LOVE+3L9. BRIGHT DAY+3.75L10. CALIFORNIA BAY+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NYX GLUCK (18.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 NYX GLUCK 18.2% 5.49 1
2 8 PACKING KING 13.2% 7.59 6
3 3 CALIFORNIA BAY 12.1% 8.27 10
4 1 SUPER LOVE 11.6% 8.61 8
5 11 INNO SUPER 8.4% 11.94 11
6 4 BULL ATTITUDE 7.6% 13.09 7
7 10 GALLANT EPOCH 6.2% 16.02 2
8 2 BRIGHT DAY 5.5% 18.26 9
9 14 YOUNG HORIZON 5.2% 19.30 3
10 9 RAGING RAPIDS 4.1% 24.57 4
11 13 FIGHT TIME 3.9% 25.83 13
12 12 ACE 2.1% 47.45 5
13 6 LUCK SMILES 1.1% 87.67 14
14 5 EXCELLENT BOY 0.8% 123.54 12
NYX GLUCK — wonPACKING KINGCALIFORNIA BAYSUPER LOVEINNO SUPERBULL ATTITUDEGALLANT EPOCHBRIGHT DAYYOUNG HORIZONRAGING RAPIDSFIGHT TIMEACELUCK SMILESEXCELLENT BOY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 21

PLACE

7 13

10 22

14 22.5

QUINELLA

7,10 82.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,10 37

7,14 32.5

10,14 81.5

FORECAST

7,10 133

TIERCE

7,10,14 654

TRIO

7,10,14 182

FIRST 4

7,9,10,14 1,166

QUARTET

7,10,14,9 10,978

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

4/7 115.5

4/10 55