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Sha Tin · 2025-12-20 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 NYX GLUCK Closed strongly 1:21.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · W K Mo 1 2.1 —
2 10 GALLANT EPOCH Closed strongly M Guyon · K W Lui 7 8.2 1-1/4
3 14 YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford 4 8.0 1-3/4
4 9 RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 13 40.0 2-1/2
5 12 ACE Closed strongly H Doyle · J Richards 2 52.0 2-1/2
6 8 PACKING KING Led early Z Purton · P C Ng 9 17.0 3
7 4 BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham 8 14.0 3
8 1 SUPER LOVE Closed strongly H Bowman · C H Yip 14 19.0 3
9 2 BRIGHT DAY J Orman · K L Man 5 19.0 3-3/4
10 3 CALIFORNIA BAY M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 12.0 4-1/2
11 11 INNO SUPER C L Chau · D Eustace 10 16.0 4-1/2
12 5 EXCELLENT BOY R Kingscote · C W Chang 3 84.0 6
13 13 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 11 20.0 7
14 6 LUCK SMILES K C Leung · W Y So 12 94.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-20 was Class 4 over 1400m. NYX GLUCK, ridden by J McDonald and trained by W K Mo, won, with GALLANT EPOCH second and YOUNG HORIZON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. NYX GLUCK—2. GALLANT EPOCH+1.25L3. YOUNG HORIZON+1.75L4. RAGING RAPIDS+2.5L5. ACE+2.5L6. PACKING KING+3L7. BULL ATTITUDE+3L8. SUPER LOVE+3L9. BRIGHT DAY+3.75L10. CALIFORNIA BAY+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NYX GLUCK (18.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 NYX GLUCK 18.2% 5.49 1
2 8 PACKING KING 13.2% 7.59 6
3 3 CALIFORNIA BAY 12.1% 8.27 10
4 1 SUPER LOVE 11.6% 8.61 8
5 11 INNO SUPER 8.4% 11.94 11
6 4 BULL ATTITUDE 7.6% 13.09 7
7 10 GALLANT EPOCH 6.2% 16.02 2
8 2 BRIGHT DAY 5.5% 18.26 9
9 14 YOUNG HORIZON 5.2% 19.30 3
10 9 RAGING RAPIDS 4.1% 24.57 4
11 13 FIGHT TIME 3.9% 25.83 13
12 12 ACE 2.1% 47.45 5
13 6 LUCK SMILES 1.1% 87.67 14
14 5 EXCELLENT BOY 0.8% 123.54 12
NYX GLUCK — wonPACKING KINGCALIFORNIA BAYSUPER LOVEINNO SUPERBULL ATTITUDEGALLANT EPOCHBRIGHT DAYYOUNG HORIZONRAGING RAPIDSFIGHT TIMEACELUCK SMILESEXCELLENT BOY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 21

PLACE

7 13

10 22

14 22.5

QUINELLA

7,10 82.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,10 37

7,14 32.5

10,14 81.5

FORECAST

7,10 133

TIERCE

7,10,14 654

TRIO

7,10,14 182

FIRST 4

7,9,10,14 1,166

QUARTET

7,10,14,9 10,978

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

4/7 115.5

4/10 55