Sha Tin · 2025-12-20 · 07:05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-20 was Class 4 over 1200m. EMBLAZON, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W K Mo, won, with PEJIBAYE second and SOLID CAR third. The 3.9 favourite PEJIBAYE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EMBLAZON 1:09.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 5 | 4.2 | — |
| 2 | 1 | PEJIBAYE J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 11 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SOLID CAR M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | GREAT SPIRIT H Doyle · C H Yip | H Doyle | C H Yip | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | RUBY SAILING M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 8 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | KA YING RESILIENCE K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CALL ME SUCCESS A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 6 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 54.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | HAPPY SHOOTER L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 38.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | TORVEIN L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 12 | 78.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | COPARTNER FLEET M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 9 | 46.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | MALPENSA Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 4.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PEJIBAYE | 24.9% | 4.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | EMBLAZON | 24.9% | 4.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | MALPENSA | 20.7% | 4.84 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | GREAT SPIRIT | 7.3% | 13.72 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 7.1% | 14.03 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | CALL ME SUCCESS | 3.0% | 33.09 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | SOLID CAR | 2.9% | 34.46 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | RUBY SAILING | 2.6% | 38.48 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | TORVEIN | 2.3% | 42.59 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | COPARTNER FLEET | 1.7% | 57.85 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 1.4% | 71.63 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 1.2% | 85.99 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 42
PLACE
1 17.5
2 19.5
4 14
QUINELLA
1,4 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 50.5
1,4 33.5
2,4 45.5
FORECAST
4,1 180
TIERCE
4,1,2 1,011
TRIO
1,2,4 204
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 309
QUARTET
4,1,2,9 5,843
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
13/9/1 538
13/9/4 3,075
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/1,2,4 979,732
4TH DOUBLE
9/1 22.5
9/4 165.5