Sha Tin · 2025-12-20 · 08:40
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-20 was Class 3 over 1200m. AURORA PATCH, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won, with IGOR STRAVINSKY second and LOYAL BRIGHT third. The 3.8 favourite AKASHVANI finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AURORA PATCH 1:09.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 8 | IGOR STRAVINSKY H Doyle · A S Cruz | H Doyle | A S Cruz | 5 | 44.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | LOYAL BRIGHT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 9.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GALACTIC VOYAGE C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | AKASHVANI Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | CELESTIAL HERO H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER LEGENDS Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 1 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS J McDonald · C W Chang | J McDonald | C W Chang | 8 | 6.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | ETERNAL RICHNESS M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 3 | 72.0 | 10 |
| — | 12 | LUCKY SYMPHONY A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 22.3% | 4.49 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | AURORA PATCH | 18.2% | 5.50 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | CELESTIAL HERO | 13.8% | 7.25 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | AKASHVANI | 11.8% | 8.46 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 9.6% | 10.41 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | LOYAL BRIGHT | 7.4% | 13.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST | 5.7% | 17.56 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | GALACTIC VOYAGE | 4.0% | 25.13 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 3.2% | 31.02 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER LEGENDS | 2.1% | 46.89 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | ETERNAL RICHNESS | 1.9% | 52.40 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 39
PLACE
6 28.5
8 110.5
9 15
QUINELLA
8,9 1,197.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 710.5
6,9 68.5
8,9 321.5
FORECAST
9,8 1,486
TIERCE
9,8,6 13,673
TRIO
6,8,9 2,774
FIRST 4
6,7,8,9 6,746
QUARTET
9,8,6,7 115,864
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/8 167
2/9 177