Sha Tin · 2025-12-20 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-20 was Class 4 over 1200m. GLACIATED, ridden by M Guyon and trained by P C Ng, won, with STRAIGHT TO GLORY second and AMAZING PARTNERS third. The 2.9 favourite SUNNY Q finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GLACIATED 1:09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 2 | 3.6 | — |
| 2 | 8 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 4 | 8.8 | N |
| 3 | 2 | AMAZING PARTNERS C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | GOOD CHAP J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 1 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | KA YING WARRIOR Z Purton · B Crawford | Z Purton | B Crawford | 11 | 8.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | SUNNY Q J McDonald · W Y So | J McDonald | W Y So | 9 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | MEGA MASTERMIND B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | PATCH OF TIME K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 12 | 14.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | QUICK MONEY C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY FIELD M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 88.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | TAI VICTORY H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 8 | 32.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | I AM BACK D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 5 | 43.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUNNY Q | 39.7% | 2.52 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | GLACIATED | 12.2% | 8.22 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | KA YING WARRIOR | 9.6% | 10.37 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | AMAZING PARTNERS | 9.6% | 10.43 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY | 7.8% | 12.82 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | MEGA MASTERMIND | 4.6% | 21.53 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | PATCH OF TIME | 4.4% | 22.80 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | QUICK MONEY | 4.0% | 25.06 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | GOOD CHAP | 3.6% | 27.42 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | I AM BACK | 2.0% | 50.53 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | TAI VICTORY | 1.5% | 67.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY FIELD | 1.0% | 99.52 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 36.5
PLACE
2 28
8 23.5
12 14.5
QUINELLA
8,12 139
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 134
2,12 74
8,12 52.5
FORECAST
12,8 258
TIERCE
12,8,2 2,444
TRIO
2,8,12 534
FIRST 4
2,8,10,12 1,303
QUARTET
12,8,2,10 19,707
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/8 54
1/12 152.5