沙田 · 2025-12-20 · 06:35
第 4場
2025-12-20沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米。由M L Yeung策騎、K W Lui訓練的TURQUOISE VELOCITY勝出。SPICY SPEEDY獲得亞軍；CONSPIRATOR獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門PACKING GLORY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY 0:56.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 7 | 4.1 | — |
| 2 | 8 | SPICY SPEEDY M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | CONSPIRATOR L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 5 | 101.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | I P O BROS Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | PACKING GLORY Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | FULL OF LAUGHTER R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 8 | 72.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | GET FRIENDLY C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | VIVA FIRECRACKER M Guyon · A S Cruz | M Guyon | A S Cruz | 4 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SPICY SPANGLE K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MAGIC SUPER J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 11 | 132.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | COME FAST FAY FAY H Doyle · K H Ting | H Doyle | K H Ting | 1 | 25.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | SO MY FOLKS K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 3 | 38.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | DERRYNBLUE L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 10 | 37.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | ALSONSO J McDonald · M Newnham | J McDonald | M Newnham | 13 | 5.2 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PACKING GLORY | 35.9% | 2.78 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | ALSONSO | 15.8% | 6.31 | 14 |
| 3 | 9 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY | 12.1% | 8.24 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | GET FRIENDLY | 8.5% | 11.78 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 4.5% | 22.46 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | VIVA FIRECRACKER | 3.6% | 27.53 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | DERRYNBLUE | 3.4% | 29.13 | 13 |
| 8 | 7 | SO MY FOLKS | 3.4% | 29.36 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | FULL OF LAUGHTER | 2.9% | 34.03 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SPICY SPEEDY | 2.7% | 37.27 | 2 |
| 11 | 14 | I P O BROS | 2.3% | 43.99 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | SPICY SPANGLE | 2.1% | 46.65 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | CONSPIRATOR | 1.8% | 56.99 | 3 |
| 14 | 6 | MAGIC SUPER | 0.9% | 113.16 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 41
PLACE
8 76
9 16
11 229
QUINELLA
8,9 590
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 178
8,11 3,342
9,11 1,289
FORECAST
9,8 886
TIERCE
9,8,11 53,684
TRIO
8,9,11 18,202
FIRST 4
8,9,11,14 35,223
QUARTET
9,8,11,14 487,333
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
13/8 662
13/9 609