沙田 · 2025-12-27 · 05:32
第 2場
2025-12-27沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米。由J Orman策騎、K L Man訓練的AURIO勝出。LITTLE MONSTER獲得亞軍；VICTORY CHAMPION獲得季軍。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AURIO 1:08.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | LITTLE MONSTER C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 13 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | VICTORY CHAMPION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | VIGOR EYE B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | SNOWTHORN M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 7.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | I EXCELLE A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | DUKE OF ORANGE H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 9 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY TWIN STARS K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 12 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | GENERAL REDWOOD Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 4 | 96.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | FLYING AMANI M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 72.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | GROOVY FEELING L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 14 | 60.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | LOVEISINTHEAIR M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 6 | 18.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | EXCEPTIONAL SANTOS H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 61.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AURIO | 32.5% | 3.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | VIGOR EYE | 10.6% | 9.41 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | LOVEISINTHEAIR | 10.3% | 9.67 | 13 |
| 4 | 10 | VICTORY CHAMPION | 8.0% | 12.45 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | SNOWTHORN | 5.4% | 18.64 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS | 5.0% | 19.91 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | DUKE OF ORANGE | 4.4% | 22.72 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY TWIN STARS | 4.0% | 24.91 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | LITTLE MONSTER | 3.9% | 25.49 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | EXCEPTIONAL SANTOS | 3.5% | 28.64 | 14 |
| 11 | 7 | I EXCELLE | 3.5% | 28.65 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | GENERAL REDWOOD | 3.3% | 30.57 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | FLYING AMANI | 3.1% | 32.17 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | GROOVY FEELING | 2.4% | 41.65 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 20
PLACE
2 12
9 55
10 26
QUINELLA
2,9 218
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 94
2,10 37
9,10 230
FORECAST
2,9 482
TIERCE
2,9,10 2,841
TRIO
2,9,10 664
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 1,080
QUARTET
2,9,10,8 17,748
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 65
2/9 133
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/2,9,10 107,911