Sha Tin · 2025-12-27 · 05:32
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-27 was Class 4 over 1200m. AURIO, ridden by J Orman and trained by K L Man, won, with LITTLE MONSTER second and VICTORY CHAMPION third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AURIO 1:08.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | LITTLE MONSTER C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 13 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | VICTORY CHAMPION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | VIGOR EYE B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | SNOWTHORN M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 7.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | I EXCELLE A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | DUKE OF ORANGE H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 9 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY TWIN STARS K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 12 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | GENERAL REDWOOD Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 4 | 96.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | FLYING AMANI M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 72.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | GROOVY FEELING L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 14 | 60.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | LOVEISINTHEAIR M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 6 | 18.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | EXCEPTIONAL SANTOS H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 61.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AURIO | 32.5% | 3.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | VIGOR EYE | 10.6% | 9.41 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | LOVEISINTHEAIR | 10.3% | 9.67 | 13 |
| 4 | 10 | VICTORY CHAMPION | 8.0% | 12.45 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | SNOWTHORN | 5.4% | 18.64 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS | 5.0% | 19.91 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | DUKE OF ORANGE | 4.4% | 22.72 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY TWIN STARS | 4.0% | 24.91 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | LITTLE MONSTER | 3.9% | 25.49 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | EXCEPTIONAL SANTOS | 3.5% | 28.64 | 14 |
| 11 | 7 | I EXCELLE | 3.5% | 28.65 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | GENERAL REDWOOD | 3.3% | 30.57 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | FLYING AMANI | 3.1% | 32.17 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | GROOVY FEELING | 2.4% | 41.65 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20
PLACE
2 12
9 55
10 26
QUINELLA
2,9 218
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 94
2,10 37
9,10 230
FORECAST
2,9 482
TIERCE
2,9,10 2,841
TRIO
2,9,10 664
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 1,080
QUARTET
2,9,10,8 17,748
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 65
2/9 133
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/2,9,10 107,911