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Sha Tin · 2025-12-27 · 08:40

Race 8

Class 3 1000m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-27 was Class 3 over 1000m. MAGNIFIQUE, ridden by J Orman and trained by D J Hall, won, with FAST RESPONDER second and CHILL BUDDY third. The 2.6 favourite SUPER STRONG KID finished 5th.

Result

Official · 0:55.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 MAGNIFIQUE 0:55.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · D J Hall 12 3.4
2 3 FAST RESPONDER A Atzeni · D J Whyte 13 15.0 1
3 10 CHILL BUDDY K Teetan · P F Yiu 7 9.9 2-1/4
4 13 SPARKLING FELLOW M F Poon · D J Hall 6 25.0 3
5 4 SUPER STRONG KID Z Purton · K L Man 11 2.6 4-1/4
6 5 BUNDLE OF CHARM B Avdulla · J Size 2 31.0 4-3/4
7 12 HAYDAY M Chadwick · P F Yiu 5 94.0 5-1/2
8 2 WONDERSTAR E C W Wong · Y S Tsui 10 10.0 6-1/2
9 11 THUNDER KIT L Hewitson · K W Lui 9 35.0 6-1/2
10 14 HEALTHY HEALTHY H Bentley · P C Ng 3 31.0 7-1/2
11 9 RYUI KOKOROE R Kingscote · D A Hayes 1 74.0 8
12 6 MR DESIRA C Y Ho · C Fownes 8 12.0 9
13 7 PARENTS' LOVE Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 31.0 10-1/2
14 8 TACTICAL VICTORY M L Yeung · W Y So 14 152.0 25-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAGNIFIQUE2. FAST RESPONDER+1L3. CHILL BUDDY+2.25L4. SPARKLING FELLOW+3L5. SUPER STRONG KID+4.25L6. BUNDLE OF CHARM+4.75L7. HAYDAY+5.5L8. WONDERSTAR+6.5L9. THUNDER KIT+6.5L10. HEALTHY HEALTHY+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPER STRONG KID (38.0%) finished 5th — the winner MAGNIFIQUE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 SUPER STRONG KID 38.0% 2.63 5
2 1 MAGNIFIQUE 11.6% 8.60 1
3 6 MR DESIRA 7.5% 13.34 12
4 3 FAST RESPONDER 6.6% 15.07 2
5 10 CHILL BUDDY 5.9% 16.97 3
6 14 HEALTHY HEALTHY 4.9% 20.59 10
7 7 PARENTS' LOVE 4.7% 21.43 13
8 13 SPARKLING FELLOW 4.7% 21.45 4
9 2 WONDERSTAR 3.7% 27.39 8
10 5 BUNDLE OF CHARM 3.5% 28.46 6
11 11 THUNDER KIT 3.3% 30.38 9
12 12 HAYDAY 2.6% 38.88 7
13 9 RYUI KOKOROE 2.2% 46.28 11
14 8 TACTICAL VICTORY 1.0% 102.92 14
SUPER STRONG KIDMAGNIFIQUE — wonMR DESIRAFAST RESPONDERCHILL BUDDYHEALTHY HEALTHYPARENTS' LOVESPARKLING FELLOWWONDERSTARBUNDLE OF CHARMTHUNDER KITHAYDAYRYUI KOKOROETACTICAL VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 34

PLACE

1 16

3 35.5

10 26.5

QUINELLA

1,3 245

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 82

1,10 81

3,10 191

FORECAST

1,3 389

TIERCE

1,3,10 3,211

TRIO

1,3,10 857

FIRST 4

1,3,10,13 1,522

QUARTET

1,3,10,13 26,217

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

5,11,14/1,3,10 80,734

7TH DOUBLE

14/1 283.5

14/3 87.5