沙田 · 2025-12-27 · 08:40
第 8場
2025-12-27沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米。由J Orman策騎、D J Hall訓練的MAGNIFIQUE勝出。FAST RESPONDER獲得亞軍；CHILL BUDDY獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門SUPER STRONG KID跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAGNIFIQUE 0:55.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 12 | 3.4 | — |
| 2 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 13 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | CHILL BUDDY K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | SPARKLING FELLOW M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER STRONG KID Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 11 | 2.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | BUNDLE OF CHARM B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HAYDAY M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 94.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | WONDERSTAR E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | THUNDER KIT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 3 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | RYUI KOKOROE R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 1 | 74.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | MR DESIRA C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | PARENTS' LOVE Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 31.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | TACTICAL VICTORY M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 152.0 | 25-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER STRONG KID | 38.0% | 2.63 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | MAGNIFIQUE | 11.6% | 8.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | MR DESIRA | 7.5% | 13.34 | 12 |
| 4 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER | 6.6% | 15.07 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | CHILL BUDDY | 5.9% | 16.97 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 4.9% | 20.59 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | PARENTS' LOVE | 4.7% | 21.43 | 13 |
| 8 | 13 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 4.7% | 21.45 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | WONDERSTAR | 3.7% | 27.39 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 3.5% | 28.46 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | THUNDER KIT | 3.3% | 30.38 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | HAYDAY | 2.6% | 38.88 | 7 |
| 13 | 9 | RYUI KOKOROE | 2.2% | 46.28 | 11 |
| 14 | 8 | TACTICAL VICTORY | 1.0% | 102.92 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 34
PLACE
1 16
3 35.5
10 26.5
QUINELLA
1,3 245
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 82
1,10 81
3,10 191
FORECAST
1,3 389
TIERCE
1,3,10 3,211
TRIO
1,3,10 857
FIRST 4
1,3,10,13 1,522
QUARTET
1,3,10,13 26,217
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,11,14/1,3,10 80,734
7TH DOUBLE
14/1 283.5
14/3 87.5