沙田 · 2025-12-27 · 09:15
第 9場
2025-12-27沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1650米。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的NEW FOREST勝出。DEFINITIVE獲得亞軍；ANOTHER WORLD獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.0倍大熱門ALLCASH跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NEW FOREST 一路領先 1:39.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 5.3 | — |
| 2 | 3 | DEFINITIVE 後段發力 L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | ANOTHER WORLD C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 1 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | YOUNG ACHIEVER 後段發力 H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 3 | 73.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | DRAGON AIR FORCE 後段發力 H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | ALLCASH 後段發力 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | RELIABLE PROFIT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 4 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | TALENTS TRUMP 後段發力 D Probert · F C Lor | D Probert | F C Lor | 9 | 98.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | MASK RIDER 後段發力 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 13.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | ARIEL R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 11 | 48.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | ENDEARED 後段發力 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 17.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM 後段發力 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 35.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | SHAMZ A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 14 | 93.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | EVERSTAR M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 12 | 58.0 | 32-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ALLCASH | 21.7% | 4.61 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 16.1% | 6.22 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | ANOTHER WORLD | 12.5% | 7.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 12.0% | 8.34 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | NEW FOREST | 7.0% | 14.31 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | DEFINITIVE | 6.0% | 16.68 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | ENDEARED | 5.8% | 17.12 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | EVERSTAR | 4.8% | 21.05 | 14 |
| 9 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM | 3.6% | 27.84 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | MASK RIDER | 3.3% | 29.92 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | YOUNG ACHIEVER | 2.6% | 39.08 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | ARIEL | 2.0% | 49.02 | 10 |
| 13 | 6 | SHAMZ | 1.5% | 65.15 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | TALENTS TRUMP | 1.1% | 94.17 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 53.5
PLACE
1 19.5
3 50
5 19
QUINELLA
1,3 482.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 150.5
1,5 52.5
3,5 140.5
FORECAST
1,3 951
TIERCE
1,3,5 3,072
TRIO
1,3,5 617
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 7,333
QUARTET
1,3,5,7 107,240
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 230
1/3 70.5