Sha Tin · 2025-12-27 · 09:15
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-27 was Class 3 over 1650m. NEW FOREST, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won, with DEFINITIVE second and ANOTHER WORLD third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite ALLCASH finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NEW FOREST Wire to wire 1:39.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 5.3 | — |
| 2 | 3 | DEFINITIVE Closed strongly L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | ANOTHER WORLD C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 1 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | YOUNG ACHIEVER Closed strongly H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 3 | 73.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | DRAGON AIR FORCE Closed strongly H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | ALLCASH Closed strongly Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | RELIABLE PROFIT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 4 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | TALENTS TRUMP Closed strongly D Probert · F C Lor | D Probert | F C Lor | 9 | 98.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | MASK RIDER Closed strongly M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 13.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | ARIEL R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 11 | 48.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | ENDEARED Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 17.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 35.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | SHAMZ A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 14 | 93.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | EVERSTAR M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 12 | 58.0 | 32-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ALLCASH | 21.7% | 4.61 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 16.1% | 6.22 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | ANOTHER WORLD | 12.5% | 7.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 12.0% | 8.34 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | NEW FOREST | 7.0% | 14.31 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | DEFINITIVE | 6.0% | 16.68 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | ENDEARED | 5.8% | 17.12 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | EVERSTAR | 4.8% | 21.05 | 14 |
| 9 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM | 3.6% | 27.84 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | MASK RIDER | 3.3% | 29.92 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | YOUNG ACHIEVER | 2.6% | 39.08 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | ARIEL | 2.0% | 49.02 | 10 |
| 13 | 6 | SHAMZ | 1.5% | 65.15 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | TALENTS TRUMP | 1.1% | 94.17 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 53.5
PLACE
1 19.5
3 50
5 19
QUINELLA
1,3 482.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 150.5
1,5 52.5
3,5 140.5
FORECAST
1,3 951
TIERCE
1,3,5 3,072
TRIO
1,3,5 617
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 7,333
QUARTET
1,3,5,7 107,240
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 230
1/3 70.5