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Sha Tin · 2025-12-27 · 09:50

Race 10

Class 3 1200m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-27 was Class 3 over 1200m. JUMBO TREASURE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won, with SZERYNG second and NEW FUTURE FOLKS third. The 2.1 favourite SZERYNG finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:09.24
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 JUMBO TREASURE 1:09.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo 6 9.7
2 5 SZERYNG Z Purton · J Size 13 2.1 N
3 1 NEW FUTURE FOLKS M Guyon · C W Chang 10 11.0 1
4 2 HAROLD WIN C L Chau · K W Lui 9 9.2 1-1/4
5 4 PRESTIGE ALWAYS L Hewitson · P C Ng 2 17.0 1-1/2
6 6 STORMY GROVE H Bentley · F C Lor 4 7.2 2-1/4
7 13 FIND MY LOVE M Chadwick · D J Whyte 1 13.0 2-3/4
8 9 GREATER BAE A Atzeni · D Eustace 5 14.0 3-1/4
9 11 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY M L Yeung · J Richards 14 65.0 4
10 8 JOKER ORBIT Y L Chung · C S Shum 7 141.0 4-1/4
11 12 LUCKY XANDER M F Poon · P F Yiu 3 81.0 4-1/4
12 14 HOLMES A COURT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 11 86.0 4-3/4
13 7 SUPER INFINITY L Ferraris · M Newnham 8 16.0 4-3/4
14 10 STARRY SHOW K Teetan · D A Hayes 12 151.0 6-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. JUMBO TREASURE2. SZERYNG+0.05L3. NEW FUTURE FOLKS+1L4. HAROLD WIN+1.25L5. PRESTIGE ALWAYS+1.5L6. STORMY GROVE+2.25L7. FIND MY LOVE+2.75L8. GREATER BAE+3.25L9. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+4L10. JOKER ORBIT+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SZERYNG (34.3%) finished 2nd — the winner JUMBO TREASURE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 SZERYNG 34.3% 2.92 2
2 4 PRESTIGE ALWAYS 11.1% 8.98 5
3 7 SUPER INFINITY 9.1% 11.02 13
4 3 JUMBO TREASURE 8.6% 11.61 1
5 6 STORMY GROVE 6.5% 15.48 6
6 1 NEW FUTURE FOLKS 6.4% 15.51 3
7 13 FIND MY LOVE 6.4% 15.66 7
8 2 HAROLD WIN 4.7% 21.16 4
9 11 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 3.2% 31.10 9
10 9 GREATER BAE 2.7% 37.04 8
11 12 LUCKY XANDER 2.4% 41.38 11
12 10 STARRY SHOW 1.7% 57.89 14
13 14 HOLMES A COURT 1.4% 70.58 12
14 8 JOKER ORBIT 1.4% 72.13 10
SZERYNGPRESTIGE ALWAYSSUPER INFINITYJUMBO TREASURE — wonSTORMY GROVENEW FUTURE FOLKSFIND MY LOVEHAROLD WINGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYGREATER BAELUCKY XANDERSTARRY SHOWHOLMES A COURTJOKER ORBIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 97.5

PLACE

1 27

3 29

5 12.5

QUINELLA

3,5 121.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 157.5

1,5 54

3,5 51.5

FORECAST

3,5 320

TIERCE

3,5,1 2,826

TRIO

1,3,5 389

FIRST 4

1,2,3,5 640

QUARTET

3,5,1,2 17,006

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

1/1/3 2,225

1/1/5 125

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,5/1,3,5 44,919

9TH DOUBLE

1/3 568.5

1/5 28.5

SIX UP

4,5/2,6/5,14/1,3/1,3/3,5 78,095

4/6/14/1/1/3 2,279,222

12 [D Eustace]

12 [K C Leung]