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Sha Tin · 2025-12-27 · 07:05

Race 5

Class 4 1200m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-27 was Class 4 over 1200m. MOUNT EVEREST, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won, with MASTER PHOENIX second and CLOUD NINE third. The 1.6 favourite PACKING PHOENIX finished 8th.

Result

Official · 1:09.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 MOUNT EVEREST 1:09.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So 3 21.0
2 5 MASTER PHOENIX C Y Ho · D Eustace 14 48.0 N
3 6 CLOUD NINE L Ferraris · M Newnham 12 12.0 1-1/4
4 14 DASH L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 72.0 1-1/2
5 12 BROWNNEEDSFURTHER J Orman · D J Hall 6 32.0 1-3/4
6 13 GASTRONOMIQUE A Atzeni · J Size 7 29.0 2-1/2
7 9 LEADING AGILITY M Chadwick · W K Mo 1 10.0 3-1/4
8 1 PACKING PHOENIX Z Purton · K W Lui 2 1.6 4-1/2
9 2 EMBRACE ABERDEEN M F Poon · F C Lor 10 7.9 4-1/2
10 11 WHOWROTETHATSONG Y L Chung · C H Yip 4 29.0 7-1/2
11 7 FLYING CHRISTIE R Kingscote · P C Ng 13 131.0 8-3/4
12 3 SKY CAP E C W Wong · C Fownes 5 24.0 10-1/4
13 10 THE COSMIC POWER H T Mo · C S Shum 11 106.0 13-1/2
14 8 GRAND MASTERMIND H Bowman · D A Hayes 8 26.0 18-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MOUNT EVEREST2. MASTER PHOENIX+0.05L3. CLOUD NINE+1.25L4. DASH+1.5L5. BROWNNEEDSFURTHER+1.75L6. GASTRONOMIQUE+2.5L7. LEADING AGILITY+3.25L8. PACKING PHOENIX+4.5L9. EMBRACE ABERDEEN+4.5L10. WHOWROTETHATSONG+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PACKING PHOENIX (34.8%) finished 8th — the winner MOUNT EVEREST was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 PACKING PHOENIX 34.8% 2.88 8
2 6 CLOUD NINE 12.8% 7.81 3
3 9 LEADING AGILITY 9.1% 10.95 7
4 2 EMBRACE ABERDEEN 8.6% 11.58 9
5 3 SKY CAP 6.7% 14.88 12
6 4 MOUNT EVEREST 5.2% 19.16 1
7 13 GASTRONOMIQUE 4.3% 23.20 6
8 12 BROWNNEEDSFURTHER 4.0% 24.70 5
9 8 GRAND MASTERMIND 4.0% 25.26 14
10 5 MASTER PHOENIX 3.6% 28.12 2
11 11 WHOWROTETHATSONG 2.3% 42.74 10
12 10 THE COSMIC POWER 2.3% 43.68 13
13 14 DASH 1.4% 72.64 4
14 7 FLYING CHRISTIE 0.9% 117.35 11
PACKING PHOENIXCLOUD NINELEADING AGILITYEMBRACE ABERDEENSKY CAPMOUNT EVEREST — wonGASTRONOMIQUEBROWNNEEDSFURTHERGRAND MASTERMINDMASTER PHOENIXWHOWROTETHATSONGTHE COSMIC POWERDASHFLYING CHRISTIE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 213

PLACE

4 35

5 94.5

6 29

QUINELLA

4,5 2,745.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 618

4,6 212.5

5,6 688

FORECAST

4,5 4,560

TIERCE

4,5,6 41,004

TRIO

4,5,6 5,688

FIRST 4

4,5,6,14 82,683

QUARTET

4,5,6,14 1,140,334

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

5/7/4 3,918

5/7/5 2,593

4TH DOUBLE

7/4 563.5

7/5 212.5